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Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Mercyhurst Lakers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~33

+0

Pts Ceded

~1719

+2

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 23 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~2311

-12

Mercyhurst Lakers averages 2 droughts/game  · Fairleigh Dickinson Knights forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

5

Both teams combined

Mercyhurst Lakers Droughts

3

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:47

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Drought Point Swing

30

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Mercyhurst Lakers Drought Impact

3 droughts19 unanswered points allowed

19.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mercyhurst Lakers

Mercyhurst Lakers

3
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3235 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jake Lemelman makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:09

16.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6365 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Jake Lemelman makes 14-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:05

7.4 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4648 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Mykolas Ivanauskas makes layup (Deshaun Jackson Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:00

13.3 opp pts

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 67 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Arthur Cox makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:47

16.3 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5960 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Arthur Cox makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:19

7.1 opp pts