Danger Map

When in a game teams are most likely to be stuck in a scoring drought, minute by minute.

2025-26 season
1st half, 12:00
Peak danger minute
20.2% in drought
2nd half, 8:00–3:00
Quietest stretch
12.0% in drought
6,114
Games analyzed
Team comparison: teams with 15+ games

Minute by minute

TipHalfFinal
Measured
Incomplete data: first and last 3:00 of the game

By stretch of the game

WindowLeague Share
1st half, 17:00–12:0018.1%
1st half, 12:00–5:0018.4%
1st half, final 5:0015.8%
2nd half, first 5:0014.5%
2nd half, 15:00–8:0014.1%
2nd half, 8:00–3:0012.0%

Compare a team

Biggest gap: 1st half, final 5:00 (+7.0 percentage points above league)
1st half, 17:00–12:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
14.6%
League
18.1%
1st half, 12:00–5:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
22.8%
League
18.4%
1st half, final 5:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
22.8%
League
15.8%
2nd half, first 5:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
14.5%
League
14.5%
2nd half, 15:00–8:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
9.4%
League
14.1%
2nd half, 8:00–3:00
Abilene Christian Wildcats
14.8%
League
12.0%

How danger is measured

For each minute of regulation, the chart shows the share of all team-games in which that team was in the middle of a scoring drought of 3:00 or more. A 15% minute means that, across the season, teams spent 15% of that minute stuck in a drought.

The first and last 3:00 are striped because the data undercounts them. A drought only starts after a team's first basket, so a scoreless start from the opening tip is never recorded. A scoreless run still going at the final horn is not stored either.

Halftime is not a break: a drought that starts late in the first half and continues into the second is counted as one drought on both sides of the break. Overtime is left out.

Related: damage velocity · collapses · blackouts