OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Seth Doege
Arizona · Big 12
Arizona · Big 12
Seth Doege
2 career stops · 1,688 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
52% run / 48% pass over 1,688 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Medium: throws it
87% pass — 39pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it
58% pass — 11pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (139 plays).
Down Big: throws it
58% pass — 10pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (254 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
52.5%
Run
47.5%
Pass
47.6%
Success Rate
1,688 plays
2-Min Pass %
47.8%
n=224
47% success
After Big Gain
58.6% run
n=203
53% success
After Sack
57.1% pass
n=42
38% success
Inside Opp 40
52.9% run
n=626
45% success
Middle 8
53.5% pass
n=312
51% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Shows on film
Exploitability Index
Grade D (30/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.2s
Avg Pace
29.7s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
8.3%
Rush Explosive
16.6%
Pass Explosive
12.2%
Overall
1,688 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half