OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Seth Doege
OC · Arizona · Big 12 · 1,688 plays tracked
Run%
52%
Pass%
48%
EPA/Play
+0.22
Arizona 2025–presentMarshall 2024–2024
Key Findings
Balanced attack52% run / 48% pass over 1,688 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Medium: throws it87% pass — 39pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it58% pass — 11pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (139 plays).
Down Big: throws it58% pass — 10pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (254 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.06n=751
60% R
2nd Down+0.21n=556
55% R
3rd Down+0.52n=335
68% P
4th Down+0.65n=46
54% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.52n=83
67% R
Medium (4-6)+0.62n=99
87% P
Long (7-9)+0.39n=65
72% P
Very Long (10+)+0.51n=88
76% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=1062
52% R
Midfield+0.07n=349
52% R
Red Zone+0.14n=163
52% R
Goal Line+0.34n=114
58% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.32n=512
58% R
Up Close+0.24n=386
54% R
Tied+0.15n=271
55% R
Down Close+0.19n=265
53% P
Down Big+0.07n=254
58% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1447%n=224
52% R
After Big Gain+0.1253%n=203
59% R
After Sack+0.2338%n=42
57% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1445%n=626
53% R
Middle 8+0.2451%n=312
54% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.12n=203
59% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.12n=110
60% R
Sack+0.23n=42
57% P
Negative Play+0.20n=127
55% P
Stuffed Run+0.31n=139
58% P
1st Down Tendency+0.06n=751
60% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.06n=271
69% R
Midfield+0.27n=25
72% R
Red Zone-0.16n=6
67% R
Goal Line-0.05n=7
71% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 72%
Notable pattern on film
After Big Gainruns 59%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
After Sackpasses 57%
Overall Tendencyruns 52%
Advanced Intel
Tempo28.2s avg / 29.7s median
Explosive8.3% rush / 16.6% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% run (n=154)
2nd Half Opening Drive55% run (n=163)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →