OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Seth Doege
OC · Arizona · Big 12 · 1,676 plays tracked
52%
Run %
48%
Pass %
+0.22
EPA per play
Arizona 2025–presentMarshall 2024–2024
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack52% run / 48% pass over 1,676 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Medium: throws it87% pass — 39pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it61% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (133 plays).
Down Big: throws it58% pass — 10pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (261 plays).
By down
1st down+0.07n=743
60% R
2nd down+0.22n=552
55% R
3rd down+0.52n=335
68% P
4th down+0.65n=46
54% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.52n=83
67% R
Medium (4-6)+0.62n=99
87% P
Long (7-9)+0.39n=65
72% P
Very Long (10+)+0.51n=88
76% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.27n=1055
52% R
Midfield+0.08n=345
51% R
Red Zone+0.15n=162
51% R
Goal Line+0.34n=114
58% R
Game script
Up Big+0.26n=491
57% R
Up Close+0.16n=369
54% R
Tied+0.26n=280
55% R
Down Close+0.30n=275
53% P
Down Big+0.13n=261
58% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2050%n=212
50% P
After Big Gain+0.1354%n=200
58% R
After Sack+0.2338%n=42
57% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1446%n=621
52% R
Middle 8+0.2551%n=310
54% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.13n=200
58% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.14n=108
59% R
Sack+0.23n=42
57% P
Negative Play+0.27n=121
58% P
Stuffed Run+0.37n=133
61% P
1st Down Tendency+0.07n=743
60% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.08n=266
68% R
Midfield+0.31n=24
71% R
Red Zone-0.16n=6
67% R
Goal Line-0.05n=7
71% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 72%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
After Big Gainruns 58%
After Sackpasses 57%
Overall Tendencyruns 52%
Advanced intel
Tempo28.1s avg / 29.7s median
Explosive8.4% rush / 16.6% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% run (n=154)
2nd Half Opening Drive55% run (n=163)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →