Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Seth Doege

Arizona · Big 12 · 1,676 plays tracked

Efficiency

15th of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 72%

When Trailing Bigpasses 58%

After Big Gainruns 58%

After Sackpasses 57%

Overall Tendencyruns 52%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 52%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 72%, 31% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 51%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 58% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 58% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 50% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)15th of 27

Inside the 20 (EPA/play)21st of 23

3rd-down success17th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

37% success51% runn=162

3rd & Long

31% success72% passn=65

2-Min Drill

50% success50% passn=212

After Big Gain

54% success58% runn=200

When Trailing Big

49% success58% passn=261

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

50% success68% runn=266

Goal Line

47% success58% runn=114

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)28.1s avg

Explosive plays8.4% rush / 16.6% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack

52% run / 48% pass over 1,676 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Medium: throws it

87% pass — 39pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (99 plays).

After Stuffed Run: throws it

61% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (133 plays).

Down Big: throws it

58% pass — 10pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (261 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs Arizona Defense →