OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Pete Sterbick
Montana State · Big Sky
Montana State · Big Sky
Pete Sterbick
1 career stop · 953 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
60% run rate over 953 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Medium: throws it
69% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (42 plays).
Down Big: throws it
57% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (53 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
75% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 60% career average (79 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
59.5%
Run
40.5%
Pass
59.1%
Success Rate
953 plays
2-Min Pass %
44.4%
n=117
58% success
After Big Gain
63.8% run
n=130
63% success
After Sack
51.8% pass
n=27
48% success
Inside Opp 40
58.5% run
n=373
57% success
Middle 8
51.4% pass
n=183
58% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.8s
Avg Pace
32.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
10.2%
Rush Explosive
19.7%
Pass Explosive
14.1%
Overall
953 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half