OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Pete Sterbick
Montana State · Big Sky
Montana State · Big Sky
Pete Sterbick
1 career stop · 953 offensive plays tracked
Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.
His biggest splits
Situations where his run/pass mix moves furthest from his own career average. Picked automatically, so the most extreme splits rise to the top; small samples overstate them. Descriptive, not a prediction.
Run-first offense
60% run rate over 953 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Medium: throws it
69% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (42 plays).
Down Big: throws it
57% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (53 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
75% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 60% career average (79 plays).
Career timeline
Overall split
59.5%
Run
40.5%
Pass
59.1%
Success rate
953 plays
2-min pass %
44.4%
n=117
58% success
After big gain
63.8% run
n=130
63% success
After sack
51.8% pass
n=27
48% success
Inside opp. 40
58.5% run
n=373
57% success
Middle 8
51.4% pass
n=183
58% success
Historical run/pass imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only, not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game script: how play-calling shifts by score
Run% and pass% as the score differential changes (left = winning big, right = losing big)
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced analytics
Tempo: pace of play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.8s
Avg pace
32.0s
Median
By score state
Explosive plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
10.2%
Rush explosive
19.7%
Pass explosive
14.1%
Overall
953 plays
Opening script: scripted drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half