Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Pete Sterbick

Montana State · Big Sky · 953 plays tracked

Not rated

FCS-only data — not comparable to FBS OCs

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest run/pass imbalances

After Big Gainruns 64%

3rd & Longpasses 64%

Overall Tendencyruns 60%

When Trailing Bigpasses 57%

2-Minute Drillruns 56%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 60%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 64%, 33% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 53%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 57% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 64% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 44% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Not rated: FCS-only data — not comparable to FBS OCs

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

61% success53% runn=87

3rd & Long

33% success64% passn=33

2-Min Drill

58% success56% runn=117

After Big Gain

63% success64% runn=130

When Trailing Big

49% success57% passn=53

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

61% success71% runn=140

Goal Line

56% success75% runn=79

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)28.8s avg

Explosive plays10.2% rush / 19.7% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Run-first offense

60% run rate over 953 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Medium: throws it

69% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (42 plays).

Down Big: throws it

57% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 41% career average (53 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

75% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 60% career average (79 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs Montana State Defense →