OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Matt Lubick
Kansas · Big 12
Kansas · Big 12
Matt Lubick
5 career stops · 2,937 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
54% run / 46% pass over 2,937 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
73% pass — 27pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
78% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (227 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it
61% pass — 15pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (470 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
53.8%
Run
46.2%
Pass
52.0%
Success Rate
2,937 plays
2-Min Pass %
60.9%
n=470
47% success
After Big Gain
60.2% run
n=362
55% success
After Sack
58.0% pass
n=81
32% success
Inside Opp 40
60.3% run
n=1039
52% success
Middle 8
50.4% pass
n=518
52% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.3s
Avg Pace
32.8s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.7%
Rush Explosive
18.1%
Pass Explosive
12.5%
Overall
2,937 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half