OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Matt Lubick
OC · Kansas · Big 12 · 2,937 plays tracked
Run%
54%
Pass%
46%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Kansas 2025–presentNevada 2024–2024Nebraska 2020–2021Washington 2017–2018Oregon 2016–2016
Key Findings
Balanced attack54% run / 46% pass over 2,937 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it73% pass — 27pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it78% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (227 plays).
2-Min Drill: throws it61% pass — 15pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (470 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.13n=1312
60% R
2nd Down+0.22n=963
51% R
3rd Down+0.56n=573
55% P
4th Down+0.67n=89
54% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.70n=173
78% R
Medium (4-6)+0.58n=146
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.45n=88
73% P
Very Long (10+)+0.47n=166
69% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.32n=1898
50% R
Midfield+0.06n=607
52% R
Red Zone+0.10n=205
65% R
Goal Line+0.50n=227
78% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.35n=486
65% R
Up Close+0.23n=357
61% R
Tied+0.26n=501
57% R
Down Close+0.23n=907
52% R
Down Big+0.27n=686
58% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1747%n=470
61% P
After Big Gain+0.1555%n=362
60% R
After Sack+0.1732%n=81
58% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1652%n=1039
60% R
Middle 8+0.3052%n=518
50% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.15n=362
60% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.17n=219
61% R
Sack+0.17n=81
58% P
Negative Play+0.24n=223
53% P
Stuffed Run+0.24n=227
50% R
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=1312
60% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=449
59% R
Midfield-0.05n=38
55% R
Red Zone+0.72n=3
100% P
Goal Line+0.24n=7
86% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 73%
Red Zoneruns 65%
2-Minute Drillpasses 61%
After Big Gainruns 60%
After Sackpasses 58%
Advanced Intel
Tempo29.3s avg / 32.8s median
Explosive7.7% rush / 18.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% run (n=295)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% run (n=292)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →