Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Matt Lubick

Nevada · MWC · 2,175 plays tracked

Efficiency

13th of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 74%

Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 65%

2-Minute Drillpasses 61%

After Big Gainruns 60%

After Sackpasses 58%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 54%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 74%, 41% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 65%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 56% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 60% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 61% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)13th of 27

Inside the 20 (EPA/play)15th of 23

3rd-down success7th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

41% success65% runn=141

3rd & Long

41% success74% passn=61

2-Min Drill

47% success61% passn=366

After Big Gain

56% success60% runn=266

When Trailing Big

56% success56% passn=504

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

52% success56% runn=323

Goal Line

59% success79% runn=170

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)29.0s avg

Explosive plays7.8% rush / 17.9% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Run-first offense

54% run rate over 2,175 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Long: throws it

74% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (61 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

79% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (170 plays).

2-Min Drill: throws it

61% pass — 15pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (366 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs Nevada Defense →