OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Jake Spavital
Baylor · Big 12
Baylor · Big 12
Jake Spavital
2 career stops · 4,167 offensive plays tracked
His biggest splits
Situations where his run/pass mix moves furthest from his own career average. Picked automatically, so the most extreme splits rise to the top; small samples overstate them. Descriptive, not a prediction.
Balanced attack
46% run / 54% pass over 4,167 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it
78% pass — 24pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (228 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
63% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (256 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
59% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (227 plays).
Career timeline
Overall split
46.1%
Run
53.9%
Pass
46.9%
Success rate
4,167 plays
2-min pass %
62.8%
n=556
48% success
After big gain
46.7% run
n=473
49% success
After sack
57.1% pass
n=105
41% success
Inside opp. 40
48.8% run
n=1314
46% success
Middle 8
61.6% pass
n=685
46% success
Historical run/pass imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only, not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game script: how play-calling shifts by score
Run% and pass% as the score differential changes (left = winning big, right = losing big)
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA per play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced analytics
Tempo: pace of play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
24.8s
Avg pace
25.0s
Median
By score state
Explosive plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
6.3%
Rush explosive
16.1%
Pass explosive
11.6%
Overall
4,167 plays
Opening script: scripted drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half