OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Jake Spavital
Baylor · Big 12
Baylor · Big 12
Jake Spavital
3 career stops · 6,802 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
46% run / 54% pass over 6,802 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Very Long: throws it
80% pass — 26pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (355 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
59% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (469 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
58% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (401 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
46.0%
Run
54.0%
Pass
47.4%
Success Rate
6,802 plays
2-Min Pass %
65.0%
n=968
48% success
After Big Gain
47.2% run
n=791
29% success
After Sack
61.9% pass
n=173
25% success
Inside Opp 40
49.2% run
n=2237
45% success
Middle 8
63.2% pass
n=1184
48% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
24.8s
Avg Pace
25.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
6.3%
Rush Explosive
16.1%
Pass Explosive
11.6%
Overall
4,167 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half