Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Jake Spavital

Baylor · Big 12 · 4,167 plays tracked

Efficiency

23rd of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 70%

2-Minute Drillpasses 63%

When Trailing Bigpasses 57%

After Sackpasses 57%

Overall Tendencypasses 54%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 46%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 70%, 25% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 51%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 57% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 47% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 63% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)23rd of 27

Inside the 20 (EPA/play)16th of 23

3rd-down success21st of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

44% success51% runn=277

3rd & Long

25% success70% passn=176

2-Min Drill

48% success63% passn=556

After Big Gain

49% success53% passn=473

When Trailing Big

45% success57% passn=1347

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

46% success52% runn=673

Goal Line

54% success59% runn=227

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)24.8s avg

Explosive plays6.3% rush / 16.1% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack

46% run / 54% pass over 4,167 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Very Long: throws it

78% pass — 24pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (228 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

63% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (256 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

59% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (227 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs Baylor Defense →