OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Ian Shoemaker
Idaho · Sun Belt
Idaho · Sun Belt
Ian Shoemaker
3 career stops · 1,791 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Pass-first offense
62% pass rate over 1,791 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it
92% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (72 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
58% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (126 plays).
Up Big: runs it
51% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (136 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
37.9%
Run
62.1%
Pass
45.4%
Success Rate
1,791 plays
2-Min Pass %
65.6%
n=209
42% success
After Big Gain
43.3% run
n=178
52% success
After Sack
70.4% pass
n=54
44% success
Inside Opp 40
41.0% run
n=588
43% success
Middle 8
67.0% pass
n=297
42% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
27.1s
Avg Pace
30.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
6.9%
Rush Explosive
12.3%
Pass Explosive
10.2%
Overall
1,791 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half