OC Tendencies
← Ian Shoemaker profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 29, 2026

Ian Shoemaker

OC · Idaho · Sun Belt · 1,712 plays tracked

38%

Run %

62%

Pass %

+0.14

EPA per play

Idaho 2026–presentHawaii 2022–2023Eastern Washington 2020–2021 (FCS)

FBS games only: 79 plays from FCS stops are left out so his numbers compare with other FBS offenses.

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense62% pass rate over 1,712 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it91% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (69 plays).
Goal Line: runs it59% run — 21pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (114 plays).
Up Big: runs it51% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (136 plays).

By down

1st down
56% P
+0.08n=731
2nd down
64% P
-0.00n=545
3rd down
74% P
+0.47n=372
4th down
59% P
+0.27n=64

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
58% R
+0.49n=107
Medium (4-6)
78% P
+0.38n=79
Long (7-9)
91% P
+0.39n=69
Very Long (10+)
90% P
+0.56n=117

Field zone

Own Territory
64% P
+0.21n=1162
Midfield
65% P
-0.07n=300
Red Zone
64% P
+0.14n=136
Goal Line
59% R
+0.00n=114

Game script

Up Big
51% R
+0.05n=136
Up Close
52% P
+0.17n=211
Tied
64% P
+0.12n=251
Down Close
65% P
+0.18n=315
Down Big
66% P
+0.14n=799

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
67% P
+0.0841%n=197
After Big Gain
57% P
+0.1052%n=168
After Sack
70% P
+0.3144%n=54
Inside Opp 40
60% P
-0.0043%n=550
Middle 8
67% P
+0.1642%n=286

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
57% P
+0.10n=168
Big Gain (20+)
53% P
+0.09n=94
Sack
70% P
+0.31n=54
Negative Play
71% P
+0.24n=109
Stuffed Run
63% P
+0.12n=96
1st Down Tendency
56% P
+0.08n=731

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
57% P
+0.15n=269
Midfield
59% P
-0.25n=17
Red Zone
60% R
-0.27n=5
Goal Line
71% R
+0.08n=7

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 91%
After Sackpasses 70%
2-Minute Drillpasses 67%
When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 64%

Advanced intel

Tempo28.5s avg / 32.0s median
Explosive6.8% rush / 12.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% pass (n=153)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=155)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →