Ian Shoemaker Profile

OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 14, 2026

Ian Shoemaker

OC · Idaho · Sun Belt · 1,791 plays tracked

Run%

38%

Pass%

62%

EPA/Play

+0.15

Idaho 2026–presentHawaii 2022–2023Eastern Washington 2020–2021 (FCS)

Key Findings

Pass-first offense62% pass rate over 1,791 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it92% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (72 plays).
Goal Line: runs it58% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (126 plays).
Up Big: runs it51% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (136 plays).

By Down

1st Down
56% P
+0.08n=765
2nd Down
63% P
+0.01n=574
3rd Down
74% P
+0.48n=388
4th Down
59% P
+0.27n=64

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
57% R
+0.46n=115
Medium (4-6)
79% P
+0.51n=84
Long (7-9)
92% P
+0.36n=72
Very Long (10+)
90% P
+0.56n=117

Field Zone

Own Territory
64% P
+0.22n=1203
Midfield
64% P
-0.03n=319
Red Zone
63% P
+0.13n=143
Goal Line
58% R
-0.00n=126

Game Script

Up Big
51% R
+0.05n=136
Up Close
51% P
+0.21n=230
Tied
63% P
+0.11n=299
Down Close
65% P
+0.21n=323
Down Big
66% P
+0.14n=799

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
66% P
+0.1342%n=209
After Big Gain
57% P
+0.0852%n=178
After Sack
70% P
+0.3144%n=54
Inside Opp 40
59% P
+0.0143%n=588
Middle 8
67% P
+0.1942%n=297

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
57% P
+0.08n=178
Big Gain (20+)
53% P
+0.07n=99
Sack
70% P
+0.31n=54
Negative Play
70% P
+0.30n=115
Stuffed Run
63% P
+0.15n=101
1st Down Tendency
56% P
+0.08n=765

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
56% P
+0.19n=282
Midfield
59% P
-0.25n=17
Red Zone
60% R
-0.27n=5
Goal Line
71% R
+0.08n=7

Run/Pass Imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 92%
After Sackpasses 70%
When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
2-Minute Drillpasses 66%
Red Zonepasses 63%

Advanced Intel

Tempo27.1s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive6.9% rush / 12.3% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% pass (n=159)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=161)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →