OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 14, 2026
Ian Shoemaker
OC · Idaho · Sun Belt · 1,791 plays tracked
Run%
38%
Pass%
62%
EPA/Play
+0.15
Idaho 2026–presentHawaii 2022–2023Eastern Washington 2020–2021 (FCS)
Key Findings
Pass-first offense62% pass rate over 1,791 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it92% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (72 plays).
Goal Line: runs it58% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (126 plays).
Up Big: runs it51% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (136 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.08n=765
56% P
2nd Down+0.01n=574
63% P
3rd Down+0.48n=388
74% P
4th Down+0.27n=64
59% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.46n=115
57% R
Medium (4-6)+0.51n=84
79% P
Long (7-9)+0.36n=72
92% P
Very Long (10+)+0.56n=117
90% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.22n=1203
64% P
Midfield-0.03n=319
64% P
Red Zone+0.13n=143
63% P
Goal Line-0.00n=126
58% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.05n=136
51% R
Up Close+0.21n=230
51% P
Tied+0.11n=299
63% P
Down Close+0.21n=323
65% P
Down Big+0.14n=799
66% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1342%n=209
66% P
After Big Gain+0.0852%n=178
57% P
After Sack+0.3144%n=54
70% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0143%n=588
59% P
Middle 8+0.1942%n=297
67% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.08n=178
57% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.07n=99
53% P
Sack+0.31n=54
70% P
Negative Play+0.30n=115
70% P
Stuffed Run+0.15n=101
63% P
1st Down Tendency+0.08n=765
56% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.19n=282
56% P
Midfield-0.25n=17
59% P
Red Zone-0.27n=5
60% R
Goal Line+0.08n=7
71% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 92%
After Sackpasses 70%
When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
2-Minute Drillpasses 66%
Red Zonepasses 63%
Advanced Intel
Tempo27.1s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive6.9% rush / 12.3% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% pass (n=159)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=161)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →