OC Tendencies
← Ian Shoemaker Profile

OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026

Ian Shoemaker

OC · Idaho · Sun Belt · 1,796 plays tracked

Run%

38%

Pass%

62%

EPA/Play

+0.15

Idaho 2026–presentHawaii 2022–2023Eastern Washington 2020–2021 (FCS)

Key Findings

Pass-first offense62% pass rate over 1,796 plays — relies on the passing game to drive the offense.
3rd & Long: throws it92% pass — 30pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (72 plays).
After a Sack: throws it88% pass — 26pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (133 plays).
Goal Line: runs it58% run — 20pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (126 plays).

By Down

1st Down
55% P
+0.07n=768
2nd Down
63% P
+0.01n=576
3rd Down
74% P
+0.48n=388
4th Down
59% P
+0.27n=64

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
57% R
+0.46n=115
Medium (4-6)
79% P
+0.51n=84
Long (7-9)
92% P
+0.36n=72
Very Long (10+)
90% P
+0.56n=117

Field Zone

Own Territory
63% P
+0.22n=1206
Midfield
64% P
-0.03n=319
Red Zone
62% P
+0.12n=145
Goal Line
58% R
-0.00n=126

Game Script

Up Big
54% R
+0.20n=153
Up Close
55% P
+0.36n=240
Tied
64% P
+0.06n=295
Down Close
64% P
+0.16n=318
Down Big
66% P
+0.10n=790

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
64% P
+0.1241%n=214
After Big Gain
39% P
+0.0635%n=248
After Sack
29% P
+0.1318%n=133
Inside Opp 40
59% P
+0.0143%n=590
Middle 8
67% P
+0.1942%n=299

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
39% P
+0.06n=248
Big Gain (20+)
29% P
+0.04n=174
Sack
29% P
+0.13n=133
Negative Play
41% P
+0.14n=188
Stuffed Run
34% P
+0.06n=178
1st Down Tendency
55% P
+0.07n=768

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
56% P
+0.18n=284
Midfield
59% P
-0.25n=17
Red Zone
60% R
-0.27n=5
Goal Line
71% R
+0.08n=7

Predictability Index

3rd & Longpasses 92%

Defenses will prepare for this

After Sackpasses 88%

Defenses will prepare for this

After Big Gainpasses 71%

Notable pattern on film

When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
2-Minute Drillpasses 64%

Advanced Intel

Tempo27.1s avg / 30.0s median
Explosive6.9% rush / 12.3% pass
After Timeout0% pass (n=79)
1st Half Opening Drive60% pass (n=159)
2nd Half Opening Drive58% pass (n=161)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →