Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 30, 2026

Ian Shoemaker

Idaho · Sun Belt · 1,712 plays tracked

Efficiency

26th of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

FBS games only: 79 plays from FCS stops are left out so his numbers compare with other FBS offenses.

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 91%

After Sackpasses 70%

2-Minute Drillpasses 67%

When Trailing Bigpasses 66%

Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 64%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass

Their OC: runs 38%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah

3rd & Long

Their OC: passes 91%, 29% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah

Red zone (11–20 yds)

Their OC: runs 36%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah

Score: Trailing

Their OC: passes 66% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing

After Big Play

Their OC: runs 43% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain

2-Min Drill

Their OC: passes 67% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)26th of 27

Inside the 20 (EPA/play)23rd of 23

3rd-down success24th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone

42% success64% passn=136

3rd & Long

29% success91% passn=69

2-Min Drill

41% success67% passn=197

After Big Gain

52% success57% passn=168

When Trailing Big

47% success66% passn=799

Drive Opener (Own Territory)

50% success57% passn=269

Goal Line

42% success59% runn=114

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)28.5s avg

Explosive plays6.8% rush / 12.0% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Pass-first offense

62% pass rate over 1,712 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Long: throws it

91% pass — 29pp more pass-oriented than the 62% career average (69 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

59% run — 21pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (114 plays).

Up Big: runs it

51% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 38% career average (136 plays).

Full profile →Matchup page →Utah vs Idaho Defense →