OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Aaron Roderick
BYU · Big 12
BYU · Big 12
Aaron Roderick
1 career stop · 4,950 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
51% run / 49% pass over 4,950 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Short: runs it
77% run — 26pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (240 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
66% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (389 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
63% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (86 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
51.4%
Run
48.6%
Pass
50.5%
Success Rate
4,950 plays
2-Min Pass %
52.1%
n=722
46% success
After Big Gain
49.9% run
n=675
55% success
After Sack
62.8% pass
n=86
29% success
Inside Opp 40
54.4% run
n=1819
50% success
Middle 8
56.6% pass
n=904
52% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Shows on film
Exploitability Index
Grade D (34/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.2s
Avg Pace
32.0s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.327
Non-PA EPA
2,407 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.8%
Rush Explosive
20.2%
Pass Explosive
13.8%
Overall
4,950 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half