OC Tendencies
← Aaron Roderick profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026

Aaron Roderick

OC · BYU · Big 12 · 4,928 plays tracked

51%

Run %

49%

Pass %

+0.28

EPA per play

BYU 2020–present

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 4,928 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Short: runs it77% run — 26pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (240 plays).
Goal Line: runs it66% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (388 plays).
After a Sack: throws it63% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (86 plays).

By down

1st down
51% P
+0.16n=2282
2nd down
59% R
+0.27n=1574
3rd down
57% P
+0.59n=918
4th down
53% P
+0.43n=151

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
77% R
+0.64n=240
Medium (4-6)
68% P
+0.74n=221
Long (7-9)
72% P
+0.57n=199
Very Long (10+)
66% P
+0.43n=258

Field zone

Own Territory
51% P
+0.35n=3116
Midfield
50% R
+0.00n=1029
Red Zone
53% R
+0.19n=395
Goal Line
66% R
+0.64n=388

Game script

Up Big
59% R
+0.30n=1634
Up Close
53% R
+0.29n=833
Tied
52% P
+0.29n=911
Down Close
54% P
+0.35n=839
Down Big
61% P
+0.16n=711

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
54% P
+0.2047%n=700
After Big Gain
50% P
+0.1755%n=674
After Sack
63% P
+0.1829%n=86
Inside Opp 40
54% R
+0.1850%n=1812
Middle 8
57% P
+0.3352%n=902

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
50% P
+0.17n=674
Big Gain (20+)
50% P
+0.21n=406
Sack
63% P
+0.18n=86
Negative Play
57% P
+0.25n=330
Stuffed Run
52% P
+0.37n=371
1st Down Tendency
51% P
+0.16n=2282

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
56% R
+0.21n=774
Midfield
53% R
-0.21n=53
Red Zone
53% R
+0.13n=15
Goal Line
77% R
+0.66n=13

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 72%
After Sackpasses 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
2-Minute Drillpasses 54%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 53%

Advanced intel

Tempo29.2s avg / 32.0s median
Explosive7.8% rush / 20.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% pass (n=456)
2nd Half Opening Drive54% run (n=504)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →