OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Aaron Roderick
OC · BYU · Big 12 · 4,928 plays tracked
Run%
51%
Pass%
49%
EPA/Play
+0.28
BYU 2020–present
Key Findings
Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 4,928 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Short: runs it77% run — 26pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (240 plays).
Goal Line: runs it66% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (388 plays).
After a Sack: throws it63% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (86 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.16n=2282
51% P
2nd Down+0.27n=1574
59% R
3rd Down+0.59n=918
57% P
4th Down+0.43n=151
53% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.64n=240
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.74n=221
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.57n=199
72% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=258
66% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.35n=3116
51% P
Midfield+0.00n=1029
50% R
Red Zone+0.19n=395
53% R
Goal Line+0.64n=388
66% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.30n=1634
59% R
Up Close+0.29n=833
53% R
Tied+0.29n=911
52% P
Down Close+0.35n=839
54% P
Down Big+0.16n=711
61% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2047%n=700
54% P
After Big Gain+0.1755%n=674
50% P
After Sack+0.1829%n=86
63% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1850%n=1812
54% R
Middle 8+0.3352%n=902
57% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.17n=674
50% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.21n=406
50% P
Sack+0.18n=86
63% P
Negative Play+0.25n=330
57% P
Stuffed Run+0.37n=371
52% P
1st Down Tendency+0.16n=2282
51% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.21n=774
56% R
Midfield-0.21n=53
53% R
Red Zone+0.13n=15
53% R
Goal Line+0.66n=13
77% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 72%
After Sackpasses 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
2-Minute Drillpasses 54%
Red Zoneruns 53%
Advanced Intel
Tempo29.2s avg / 32.0s median
Explosive7.8% rush / 20.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% pass (n=456)
2nd Half Opening Drive54% run (n=504)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →