OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Aaron Roderick
OC · BYU · Big 12 · 4,950 plays tracked
Run%
51%
Pass%
49%
EPA/Play
+0.28
BYU 2020–present
Key Findings
Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 4,950 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Short: runs it77% run — 26pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (240 plays).
Goal Line: runs it66% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (389 plays).
After a Sack: throws it63% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (86 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.15n=2294
51% P
2nd Down+0.27n=1580
59% R
3rd Down+0.59n=921
56% P
4th Down+0.41n=152
53% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.64n=240
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.74n=221
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.57n=199
72% P
Very Long (10+)+0.41n=261
65% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.34n=3131
50% P
Midfield-0.00n=1034
50% R
Red Zone+0.19n=396
53% R
Goal Line+0.64n=389
66% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.37n=1704
59% R
Up Close+0.37n=875
54% R
Tied+0.20n=876
52% P
Down Close+0.22n=799
54% P
Down Big+0.11n=696
61% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1646%n=722
52% P
After Big Gain+0.1755%n=675
50% P
After Sack+0.1829%n=86
63% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1750%n=1819
54% R
Middle 8+0.3352%n=904
57% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.17n=675
50% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.21n=407
50% P
Sack+0.18n=86
63% P
Negative Play+0.22n=339
55% P
Stuffed Run+0.33n=383
50% P
1st Down Tendency+0.15n=2294
51% P
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.20n=781
56% R
Midfield-0.23n=54
54% R
Red Zone+0.13n=15
53% R
Goal Line+0.66n=13
77% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 72%
Notable pattern on film
After Sackpasses 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
Red Zoneruns 53%
2-Minute Drillpasses 52%
Advanced Intel
Tempo29.2s avg / 32.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive7.8% rush / 20.2% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% pass (n=456)
2nd Half Opening Drive54% run (n=504)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →