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Utah 2026 · Game prep sheet · October 28, 2026

Aaron Roderick

BYU · Big 12 · 4,928 plays tracked

Efficiency

5th of 27

among the FBS OCs we track

Biggest run/pass imbalances

3rd & Longpasses 72%
After Sackpasses 63%
When Trailing Bigpasses 61%
2-Minute Drillpasses 54%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 53%

Utah defense matchup: Scalley-era proxy (2020–25)

Utah's 2026 defense is called by first-year DC Colton Swan (linebackers coach in this system, 2019–25). We have no play-calling history for him, so this compares against what offenses ran on Morgan Scalley's defenses, side by side with no verdict. Descriptive, not a tested prediction.

Overall Run/Pass
Their OC: runs 51%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 45% vs Utah
3rd & Long
Their OC: passes 72%, 34% success rateUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 80% vs Utah
Red zone (11–20 yds)
Their OC: runs 53%Utah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% vs Utah
Score: Trailing
Their OC: passes 61% when trailingUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 58% when trailing
After Big Play
Their OC: runs 50% after big gainUtah D (2020–25): opponents run 49% after big gain
2-Min Drill
Their OC: passes 54% in 2-minUtah D (2020–25): opponents pass 60% in 2-min

Ranking among the FBS OCs we track (descriptive)

Efficiency (EPA/play)5th of 27
Inside the 20 (EPA/play)5th of 23
3rd-down success9th of 25

1st = best. 2020–2025 FBS data only; describes the past, not a tested prediction.

Situational tendencies

Red Zone
45% success53% runn=395
3rd & Long
34% success72% passn=199
2-Min Drill
47% success54% passn=700
After Big Gain
55% success50% passn=674
When Trailing Big
46% success61% passn=711
Drive Opener (Own Territory)
53% success56% runn=774
Goal Line
57% success66% runn=388

Advanced intel

Tempo (avg pace)29.2s avg
Explosive plays7.8% rush / 20.2% pass

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack

51% run / 49% pass over 4,928 plays (2020–2025).

3rd & Short: runs it

77% run — 26pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (240 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

66% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (388 plays).

After a Sack: throws it

63% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (86 plays).