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Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State Penguins

HorizonOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 24 games played · 15-16 (48%)

Youngstown State Penguins ranks 4th of 11 Horizon teams in droughts per game (1.63 dpg, below the Horizon average of 1.67). Their droughts average 3:54near the Horizon norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 7.2 pts per drought, contributing to 12 influenced losses (4 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.63

Conf avg: 1.7 · #4 of 11 in Horizon

4th in Horizon

-0.04/game vs Horizon avg

#4 in Horizon (11 teams)

Avg Duration

3:54

Conf avg: 232.5 · #7 of 11 in Horizon

+0:01 vs Horizon avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

7.2

Conf avg: 7.6 · #3 of 11 in Horizon

-0.5 pts vs Horizon avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

12

4 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

33%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 39 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

3-10

vs 12-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.6 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 39 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
23
droughts · avg 3:54
2nd Half
16
droughts · avg 3:53
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
25
64% of droughts
6.3 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
10
26% of droughts
9.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
4
10% of droughts
7.3 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.3 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
7.3 pts

Key Takeaway

Significant droughts allow 48% more points than notable ones (9.3 vs 6.3 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(38%)2-PT(56%)FT(5%)
3-Ptr (15, 38%)2-Ptr (22, 56%)FT (2, 5%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 4
Robert Morris Colonials@ Robert Morris Colonials
L 5368
Feb 28
Green Bay Phoenix@ Green Bay Phoenix
L 6082
Feb 25
Milwaukee Panthers@ Milwaukee Panthers
L 6578
Feb 22
Northern Kentucky Norsevs Northern Kentucky Norse
W 6458
Feb 18
Cleveland State Vikingsvs Cleveland State Vikings
W 10682
Feb 15
Detroit Mercy Titans@ Detroit Mercy Titans
L 7076
Feb 12
Oakland Golden Grizzlies@ Oakland Golden Grizzlies
W 8682
Feb 7
Robert Morris Colonialsvs Robert Morris Colonials
L 6672
Feb 4
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons@ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
W 9061
Jan 30
IU Indianapolis Jaguarsvs IU Indianapolis Jaguars
W 8576
Jan 24
Milwaukee Panthersvs Milwaukee Panthers
L 6465
Jan 22
Green Bay Phoenixvs Green Bay Phoenix
W 8881
Jan 17
Cleveland State Vikings@ Cleveland State Vikings
L 7880
Jan 15
Wright State Raiders@ Wright State Raiders
L 8393
Jan 9
vs Bryant & Stratton (Ohio) Bobcats
W 9961
Jan 7
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsvs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
L 6971
Jan 4
Northern Kentucky Norse@ Northern Kentucky Norse
L 7994
Jan 1
Oakland Golden Grizzliesvs Oakland Golden Grizzlies
L 8385
Dec 29
Detroit Mercy Titansvs Detroit Mercy Titans
L 6873
Dec 20
South Carolina Upstate Spartansvs South Carolina Upstate Spartans
W 7465
Dec 17
Robert Morris Colonials@ Robert Morris Colonials
L 7780
Dec 14
vs Thiel Tomcats
W 10352
Dec 6
IU Indianapolis Jaguars@ IU Indianapolis Jaguars
W 7855
Dec 3
Wright State Raidersvs Wright State Raiders
W 6968
Nov 28
Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State Cougars
W 8764
Nov 24
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern Eagles
W 6761
Nov 23
UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro Spartans
L 6268
Nov 19
Toledo Rockets@ Toledo Rockets
L 7592
Nov 15
St. Bonaventure Bonnies@ St. Bonaventure Bonnies
L 8084
Nov 10
vs Penn State-Shenango Nittany Lions
W 11553
Nov 7
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon Lopes
W 9081
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 4Robert Morris Colonials@ Robert Morris ColonialsL 68-53
2
Feb 28Green Bay Phoenix@ Green Bay Phoenix
2
Feb 25Milwaukee Panthers@ Milwaukee PanthersL 78-65
2
Feb 22Northern Kentucky Norsevs Northern Kentucky NorseW 64-58
1
Feb 18Cleveland State Vikingsvs Cleveland State VikingsW 106-820
Feb 15Detroit Mercy Titans@ Detroit Mercy TitansL 76-70
2
Feb 12Oakland Golden Grizzlies@ Oakland Golden GrizzliesW 82-86
1
Feb 7Robert Morris Colonialsvs Robert Morris ColonialsL 66-72
2
Feb 4Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons@ Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsW 61-90
1
Jan 30IU Indianapolis Jaguarsvs IU Indianapolis JaguarsW 85-76
1
Jan 24Milwaukee Panthersvs Milwaukee PanthersL 64-65
1
Jan 22Green Bay Phoenixvs Green Bay PhoenixW 88-81
2
Jan 17Cleveland State Vikings@ Cleveland State VikingsL 80-78
1
Jan 15Wright State Raiders@ Wright State RaidersL 93-83
2
Jan 9vs Bryant & Stratton (Ohio) BobcatsW 99-610
Jan 7Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsvs Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsL 69-710
Jan 4Northern Kentucky Norse@ Northern Kentucky NorseL 94-79
2
Jan 1Oakland Golden Grizzliesvs Oakland Golden GrizzliesL 83-85
2
Dec 29Detroit Mercy Titansvs Detroit Mercy TitansL 68-73
3
Dec 20South Carolina Upstate Spartansvs South Carolina Upstate SpartansW 74-65
1
Dec 17Robert Morris Colonials@ Robert Morris ColonialsL 80-77
1
Dec 14vs Thiel TomcatsW 103-520
Dec 6IU Indianapolis Jaguars@ IU Indianapolis JaguarsW 55-78
2
Dec 3Wright State Raidersvs Wright State RaidersW 69-68
1
Nov 28Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State CougarsW 87-640
Nov 24Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesW 67-61
2
Nov 23UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro SpartansL 68-62
3
Nov 19Toledo Rockets@ Toledo RocketsL 92-75
1
Nov 15St. Bonaventure Bonnies@ St. Bonaventure BonniesL 84-80
1
Nov 10vs Penn State-Shenango Nittany LionsW 115-530
Nov 7Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesW 81-900
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
27 pts allowed during 3 droughts (39.7% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (34.2% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (21.2% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25% of 15-pt margin)
Major Factor
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.2% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.1% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16.7% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.7% of 4-pt margin)
Minor Factor
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.3% of 3-pt margin)
Minor Factor
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (12.3% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Youngstown State Penguins scoring droughts this season.
1
BD
Bryson Dawkins
27% clutch
11
2
CP
Cam Polak
20% clutch
5
3
CC
Cris Carroll
80% clutch
5
4
JN
Jason Nelson
60% clutch
5
5
RR
Rich Rolf
67% clutch
3
6
DK
Drew King
2
7
JH
Jaiden Haynes
2
8
VS
Vlad Salaridze
2
9
TB
Tae Blackshear
2
3PT
2PT
FT