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Sunday, February 22, 2026

Conference game
Youngstown State PenguinsYoungstown State Penguins

64

vs
Northern Kentucky NorseNorthern Kentucky Norse

58

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Youngstown State Penguins

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→6

-2

Northern Kentucky Norse

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~11→24

+13

Youngstown State Penguins averages 1 droughts/game  · Northern Kentucky Norse forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Youngstown State Penguins droughts

3

Northern Kentucky Norse droughts

6:05

Longest drought

Northern Kentucky Norse

30

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northern Kentucky Norse drought cost

3 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

24

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Youngstown State Penguins drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State Penguins

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Drew King makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:18

6.0 pts

Northern Kentucky Norse

Northern Kentucky Norse

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Tae Dozier makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

6:05

12.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 33 → 35 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Ethan Elliott makes layup (LJ Wells assists)

2-Pointer

3:03

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Bryce Darbyshire makes layup (LJ Wells assists)

2-Pointer

3:02

8.0 pts