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Friday, January 30, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Youngstown State Penguins

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→4

-3

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~13→29

+16

Youngstown State Penguins averages 1 droughts/game  · IU Indianapolis Jaguars forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Youngstown State Penguins droughts

3

IU Indianapolis Jaguars droughts

4:01

Longest drought

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

33

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

IU Indianapolis Jaguars drought cost

3 droughts • 29 pts drought cost

29

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Youngstown State Penguins drought cost

1 drought • 4 pts drought cost

4

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State Penguins

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Bryson Dawkins makes layup

2-Pointer

3:39

4.0 pts

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 53 → 54 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Micah Davis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

18.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 39 → 42 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Reece Hagy makes 28-foot three point jumper (Finley Woodward assists)

3-Pointer

3:45

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 69 → 71 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Maguire Mitchell makes layup (Matt Compas assists)

2-Pointer

3:12

3.0 pts