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Friday, January 30, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Youngstown State Penguins

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~11

+0

Pts Ceded

~94

-5

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1829

+11

Youngstown State Penguins averages 2 droughts/game  · IU Indianapolis Jaguars forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Youngstown State Penguins Droughts

1

IU Indianapolis Jaguars Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:01

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Drought Point Swing

33

Total unanswered points during droughts

3 droughts29 unanswered points allowed

29.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

1 drought4 unanswered points allowed

4.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Youngstown State Penguins

Youngstown State Penguins

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1315 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Bryson Dawkins makes layup

2-Pointer

3:39

11.8 opp pts

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5354 · Opponent scored 18 pts

Ended by: Micah Davis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:01

25.6 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 3942 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Reece Hagy makes 28-foot three point jumper (Finley Woodward assists)

3-Pointer

3:45

15.1 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6971 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Maguire Mitchell makes layup (Matt Compas assists)

2-Pointer

3:12

9.1 opp pts