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VMI Keydets

VMI Keydets

SouthernOTHER

2025-26 drought profile · 31 games played · 5-26 (16%)

VMI Keydets ranks 10th of 11 Southern teams in droughts per game (1.74 dpg, above the Southern average of 1.39). Their droughts average 4:02 (+0:08 above the Southern norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 8.4 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.74

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.4 · #10 of 11 in Southern

10th in Southern

+0.35/game vs Southern avg

#10 in Southern (11 teams)

4:02

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:55 · #8 of 11 in Southern

+0:08 vs Southern avg

How long cold streaks typically last

8.4

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.5 · #11 of 11 in Southern

+1.0 pts vs Southern avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

5

Influenced losses

1 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

30%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 16 of 54 droughts

2-13

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 3-13 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 54 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
37
droughts · avg 3:56
2nd half
17
droughts · avg 4:14

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
31
57% of droughts
7.4 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
18
33% of droughts
8.9 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
5
9% of droughts
13.2 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.4 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
13.2 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 78% more points than notable ones (13.2 vs 7.4 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(35%)2-PT(43%)FT(22%)
3-pointer (19, 35%)2-pointer (23, 43%)FT (12, 22%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 6
UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro Spartans
L 70–84
Feb 28
Chattanooga Mocs@ Chattanooga Mocs
L 66–70
Feb 26
Samford Bulldogs@ Samford Bulldogs
L 61–80
Feb 21
Western Carolina Catamountsvs Western Carolina Catamounts
L 62–81
Feb 18
Wofford Terriers@ Wofford Terriers
L 76–82
Feb 14
Furman Paladinsvs Furman Paladins
L 72–90
Feb 11
UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro Spartans
L 71–92
Feb 7
East Tennessee State Buccaneersvs East Tennessee State Buccaneers
L 70–87
Feb 4
Wofford Terriersvs Wofford Terriers
L 67–81
Jan 31
Mercer Bears@ Mercer Bears
L 81–95
Jan 29
The Citadel Bulldogs@ The Citadel Bulldogs
L 56–80
Jan 24
Western Carolina Catamounts@ Western Carolina Catamounts
L 58–88
Jan 21
UNC Greensboro Spartansvs UNC Greensboro Spartans
L 78–85
Jan 17
The Citadel Bulldogsvs The Citadel Bulldogs
L 68–82
Jan 15
Mercer Bearsvs Mercer Bears
L 67–77
Jan 10
Furman Paladins@ Furman Paladins
L 48–69
Jan 7
East Tennessee State Buccaneers@ East Tennessee State Buccaneers
L 67–81
Jan 3
Chattanooga Mocsvs Chattanooga Mocs
W 79–71
Jan 1
Samford Bulldogsvs Samford Bulldogs
L 58–78
Dec 21
Radford Highlanders@ Radford Highlanders
L 90–97
Dec 9
Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsvs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
W 86–70
Dec 5
vs Christendom Crusaders
W 89–36
Nov 29
UCF Knights@ UCF Knights
L 57–82
Nov 26
Bowling Green Falconsvs Bowling Green Falcons
L 48–81
Nov 24
Buffalo Bulls@ Buffalo Bulls
L 70–78
Nov 22
Stetson Hatters@ Stetson Hatters
L 80–99
Nov 19
Richmond Spiders@ Richmond Spiders
L 54–87
Nov 15
Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville Dolphins
L 67–69
Nov 12
vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons
W 106–54
Nov 9
Missouri Tigers@ Missouri Tigers
L 68–106
Nov 7
@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
W 78–74
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 6UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro SpartansL 84-70
2
Feb 28Chattanooga Mocs@ Chattanooga MocsL 70-660
Feb 26Samford Bulldogs@ Samford BulldogsL 80-61
1
Feb 21Western Carolina Catamountsvs Western Carolina CatamountsL 62-81
3
Feb 18Wofford Terriers@ Wofford TerriersL 82-76
2
Feb 14Furman Paladinsvs Furman PaladinsL 72-90
1
Feb 11UNC Greensboro Spartans@ UNC Greensboro SpartansL 92-71
3
Feb 7East Tennessee State Buccaneersvs East Tennessee State BuccaneersL 70-87
3
Feb 4Wofford Terriersvs Wofford TerriersL 67-81
1
Jan 31Mercer Bears@ Mercer BearsL 95-81
1
Jan 29The Citadel Bulldogs@ The Citadel BulldogsL 80-56
2
Jan 24Western Carolina Catamounts@ Western Carolina CatamountsL 88-58
2
Jan 21UNC Greensboro Spartansvs UNC Greensboro SpartansL 78-85
1
Jan 17The Citadel Bulldogsvs The Citadel BulldogsL 68-82
2
Jan 15Mercer Bearsvs Mercer BearsL 67-77
1
Jan 10Furman Paladins@ Furman PaladinsL 69-48
4
Jan 7East Tennessee State Buccaneers@ East Tennessee State BuccaneersL 81-67
1
Jan 3Chattanooga Mocsvs Chattanooga MocsW 79-71
2
Jan 1Samford Bulldogsvs Samford BulldogsL 58-78
2
Dec 21Radford Highlanders@ Radford HighlandersL 97-90
1
Dec 9Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsvs Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsW 86-70
1
Dec 5vs Christendom CrusadersW 89-36
1
Nov 29UCF Knights@ UCF KnightsL 82-57
4
Nov 26Bowling Green Falconsvs Bowling Green FalconsL 48-81
4
Nov 24Buffalo Bulls@ Buffalo BullsL 78-70
1
Nov 22Stetson Hatters@ Stetson HattersL 99-80
1
Nov 19Richmond Spiders@ Richmond SpidersL 87-54
2
Nov 15Jacksonville Dolphinsvs Jacksonville DolphinsL 67-69
1
Nov 12vs Virginia-Lynchburg DragonsW 106-54
1
Nov 9Missouri Tigers@ Missouri TigersL 106-68
1
Nov 7@ Southern Indiana Screaming EaglesW 74-78
2

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Wofford Terriers@ Wofford TerriersL 76-82Feb 18
22 pts allowed during 2 droughts (26.8% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.2% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.1% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.3% of 7-pt margin)
Minor Factor
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.6% of 7-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended VMI Keydets scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
TY
Tan Yildizoglu
25% clutchⓘ
12
2
TJ
TJ Johnson
10% clutchⓘ
10
3
MJ
Mario Tatum Jr.
17% clutchⓘ
6
4
WA
Walker Andrews
17% clutchⓘ
6
5
AC
AJ Clark
20% clutchⓘ
5
6
LH
Linus Holmstrom
0% clutchⓘ
5
7
JP
Jaylen Pazon
25% clutchⓘ
4
8
AD
Alexander Daushvili
33% clutchⓘ
3
9
CL
Cal Liston
2
3PT
2PT
FT