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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

95

vs
VMI KeydetsVMI Keydets

81

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Mercer Bears

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→11

+3

VMI Keydets

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~16→6

-10

Mercer Bears averages 1 droughts/game  · VMI Keydets forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Mercer Bears droughts

1

VMI Keydets droughts

3:43

Longest drought

VMI Keydets

17

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Mercer Bears drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

VMI Keydets drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 57 → 60 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Zaire Williams makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tristan Gross assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

11.0 pts

VMI Keydets

VMI Keydets

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: AJ Clark makes 1-foot dunk (Tan Yildizoglu assists)

2-Pointer

3:43

6.0 pts