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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Conference game
VMI KeydetsVMI Keydets

67

vs
Mercer BearsMercer Bears

77

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

VMI Keydets

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~16→3

-13

Mercer Bears

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→5

-3

VMI Keydets averages 2 droughts/game  · Mercer Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

VMI Keydets droughts

2

Mercer Bears droughts

4:54

Longest drought

VMI Keydets

8

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Mercer Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

VMI Keydets drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
VMI Keydets

VMI Keydets

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 30 → 33 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Cal Liston makes 24-foot three point jumper (Mario Tatum Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

4:54

3.0 pts

Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:19

3.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 33 → 35 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Armani Mighty makes 8-foot hook shot (Zaire Williams assists)

2-Pointer

3:18

2.0 pts