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UCF Knights

UCF Knights

Big 12P4

2025-26 Drought Profile · 20 games played · 20-11 (65%)

UCF Knights ranks 10th of 16 Big 12 teams in droughts per game (1.80 dpg, above the Big 12 average of 1.72). Their droughts average 4:00+0:07 above the Big 12 norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.2 pts per drought, contributing to 5 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.80

Conf avg: 1.7 · #10 of 16 in Big 12

10th in Big 12

+0.08/game vs Big 12 avg

#10 in Big 12 (16 teams)

Avg Duration

4:00

Conf avg: 233.1 · #15 of 16 in Big 12

+0:07 vs Big 12 avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.2

Conf avg: 7.5 · #15 of 16 in Big 12

+0.8 pts vs Big 12 avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

5

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

31%

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 36 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

5-6

vs 15-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.8 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 36 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
23
droughts · avg 4:18
2nd Half
13
droughts · avg 3:29
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
24
67% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
3
8% of droughts
9 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
9
25% of droughts
11.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 72% more points than notable ones (11.7 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(39%)2-PT(50%)FT(11%)
3-Ptr (14, 39%)2-Ptr (18, 50%)FT (4, 11%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona Wildcats
L 5981
Mar 11
Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati Bearcats
W 6665
Mar 6
West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia Mountaineers
L 6277
Mar 3
Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State Cowboys
L 104111
Feb 28
Baylor Bearsvs Baylor Bears
L 8687
Feb 24
BYU Cougars@ BYU Cougars
W 9784
Feb 21
Utah Utes@ Utah Utes
W 7371
Feb 17
TCU Horned Frogsvs TCU Horned Frogs
W 8271
Feb 14
West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia Mountaineers
L 6774
Feb 8
Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati Bearcats
L 7292
Feb 4
Houston Cougars@ Houston Cougars
L 5579
Jan 31
Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red Raiders
W 8880
Jan 27
Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun Devils
W 7976
Jan 24
Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado Buffaloes
W 9586
Jan 20
Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State Cyclones
L 5787
Jan 17
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona Wildcats
L 7784
Jan 14
Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State Wildcats
W 8273
Jan 11
Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati Bearcats
W 7372
Jan 6
Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State Cowboys
L 7687
Jan 3
Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas Jayhawks
W 8175
Dec 23
Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic Owls
W 8580
Dec 20
Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
W 10280
Dec 17
Mercer Bearsvs Mercer Bears
W 8163
Dec 7
Towson Tigersvs Towson Tigers
W 8661
Nov 29
VMI Keydetsvs VMI Keydets
W 8257
Nov 25
Quinnipiac Bobcatsvs Quinnipiac Bobcats
W 10291
Nov 20
Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh Panthers
W 7767
Nov 17
Oakland Golden Grizzliesvs Oakland Golden Grizzlies
W 8783
Nov 14
Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M Aggies
W 8674
Nov 11
Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M Rattlers
W 9760
Nov 8
Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt Commodores
L 93105
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona WildcatsL 81-59
2
Mar 11Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati BearcatsW 66-65
3
Mar 6West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia MountaineersL 77-62
1
Mar 3Oklahoma State Cowboysvs Oklahoma State CowboysL 104-111
2
Feb 28Baylor Bearsvs Baylor BearsL 86-870
Feb 24BYU Cougars@ BYU CougarsW 84-970
Feb 21Utah Utes@ Utah UtesW 71-73
1
Feb 17TCU Horned Frogsvs TCU Horned FrogsW 82-71
2
Feb 14West Virginia Mountaineersvs West Virginia MountaineersL 67-740
Feb 8Cincinnati Bearcats@ Cincinnati BearcatsL 92-72
1
Feb 4Houston Cougars@ Houston CougarsL 79-55
4
Jan 31Texas Tech Red Raidersvs Texas Tech Red RaidersW 88-800
Jan 27Arizona State Sun Devilsvs Arizona State Sun DevilsW 79-760
Jan 24Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado BuffaloesW 86-950
Jan 20Iowa State Cyclones@ Iowa State CyclonesL 87-57
2
Jan 17Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 77-84
3
Jan 14Kansas State Wildcats@ Kansas State WildcatsW 73-820
Jan 11Cincinnati Bearcatsvs Cincinnati BearcatsW 73-72
1
Jan 6Oklahoma State Cowboys@ Oklahoma State CowboysL 87-76
3
Jan 3Kansas Jayhawksvs Kansas JayhawksW 81-75
1
Dec 23Florida Atlantic Owlsvs Florida Atlantic OwlsW 85-80
2
Dec 20Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesvs Florida Gulf Coast EaglesW 102-80
1
Dec 17Mercer Bearsvs Mercer BearsW 81-63
1
Dec 7Towson Tigersvs Towson TigersW 86-610
Nov 29VMI Keydetsvs VMI KeydetsW 82-57
1
Nov 25Quinnipiac Bobcatsvs Quinnipiac BobcatsW 102-910
Nov 20Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh PanthersW 77-670
Nov 17Oakland Golden Grizzliesvs Oakland Golden GrizzliesW 87-83
2
Nov 14Texas A&M Aggies@ Texas A&M AggiesW 74-86
2
Nov 11Florida A&M Rattlersvs Florida A&M RattlersW 97-600
Nov 8Vanderbilt Commodoresvs Vanderbilt CommodoresL 93-105
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Arizona Wildcatsvs Arizona WildcatsL 77-84Jan 17
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (29.8% of 7-pt margin)
Major Factor
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.1% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16.2% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.5% of 12-pt margin)
Minor Factor
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.7% of 15-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended UCF Knights scoring droughts this season.
1
JB
Jordan Burks
11% clutch
9
2
RK
Riley Kugel
29% clutch
7
3
TF
Themus Fulks
17% clutch
6
4
JS
Jamichael Stillwell
20% clutch
5
5
CP
Carmelo Pacheco
0% clutch
3
6
DC
Devan Cambridge
2
7
CJ
Chris Johnson
2
3PT
2PT
FT