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Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UCF Knights

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:00

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~165

-11

Mercer Bears

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1111

+0

UCF Knights averages 2 droughts/game  · Mercer Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

UCF Knights Droughts

1

Mercer Bears Droughts

2

Longest Drought

3:46

Mercer Bears

Drought Point Swing

16

Total unanswered points during droughts

Mercer Bears Drought Impact

2 droughts11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UCF Knights Drought Impact

1 drought5 unanswered points allowed

5.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UCF Knights

UCF Knights

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1011 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Riley Kugel makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

11.5 opp pts

Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1214 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes layup

2-Pointer

3:46

11.9 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2223 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:21

10.3 opp pts