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Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UCF Knights

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→5

-6

Mercer Bears

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~7→11

+4

UCF Knights averages 1 droughts/game  · Mercer Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UCF Knights droughts

2

Mercer Bears droughts

3:46

Longest drought

Mercer Bears

16

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Mercer Bears drought cost

2 droughts • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UCF Knights drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UCF Knights

UCF Knights

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 11 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Riley Kugel makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

5.0 pts

Mercer Bears

Mercer Bears

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes layup

2-Pointer

3:46

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 23 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Brady Shoulders makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:21

5.0 pts