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Sunday, January 11, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UCF Knights

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~15→6

-9

Cincinnati Bearcats

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→16

+7

UCF Knights averages 1 droughts/game  · Cincinnati Bearcats forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UCF Knights droughts

2

Cincinnati Bearcats droughts

4:47

Longest drought

Cincinnati Bearcats

22

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cincinnati Bearcats drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UCF Knights drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UCF Knights

UCF Knights

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 21 → 23 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Chris Johnson makes driving layup (Riley Kugel assists)

2-Pointer

3:26

6.0 pts

Cincinnati Bearcats

Cincinnati Bearcats

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 14 → 16 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Moustapha Thiam makes 10-foot hook shot (Sencire Harris assists)

2-Pointer

4:47

7.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Shon Abaev makes 11-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:43

9.0 pts