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Ball State Cardinals

Ball State Cardinals

MACG5

2025-26 drought profile · 30 games played · 10-20 (33%)

Ball State Cardinals ranks 12th of 12 MAC teams in droughts per game (1.70 dpg, above the MAC average of 1.22). Their droughts average 3:59 (near the MAC norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 6.6 pts per drought, contributing to 8 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.70

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #12 of 12 in MAC

12th in MAC

+0.48/game vs MAC avg

#12 in MAC (12 teams)

3:59

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:55 · #7 of 12 in MAC

+0:04 vs MAC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

6.6

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.5 · #2 of 12 in MAC

-1.0 pts vs MAC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

8

Influenced losses

3 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

27%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 51 droughts

3-13

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 7-7 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.7 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 51 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
35
droughts · avg 4:01
2nd half
16
droughts · avg 3:55

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
31
61% of droughts
5.5 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
16
31% of droughts
7.2 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
4
8% of droughts
12.8 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.2 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12.8 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 133% more points than notable ones (12.8 vs 5.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(24%)2-PT(57%)FT(20%)
3-pointer (12, 24%)2-pointer (29, 57%)FT (10, 20%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 6
Central Michigan Chippewasvs Central Michigan Chippewas
W 85–69
Mar 3
Western Michigan Broncos@ Western Michigan Broncos
W 74–71
Feb 28
Northern Illinois Huskies@ Northern Illinois Huskies
W 79–43
Feb 24
Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts Minutemen
L 38–53
Feb 20
Akron Zipsvs Akron Zips
L 65–78
Feb 17
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio Bobcats
L 57–69
Feb 14
Kent State Golden Flashesvs Kent State Golden Flashes
L 68–75
Feb 11
Buffalo Bullsvs Buffalo Bulls
L 53–63
Feb 7
UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe Warhawks
W 73–68
Feb 3
Bowling Green Falcons@ Bowling Green Falcons
L 52–77
Jan 31
Toledo Rockets@ Toledo Rockets
L 55–73
Jan 24
Northern Illinois Huskiesvs Northern Illinois Huskies
W 58–53
Jan 20
Central Michigan Chippewas@ Central Michigan Chippewas
W 68–67
Jan 16
Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio Bobcats
W 76–71
Jan 13
Akron Zips@ Akron Zips
L 77–87
Jan 10
Massachusetts Minutemen@ Massachusetts Minutemen
L 71–79
Jan 6
Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan Eagles
L 52–74
Jan 3
Buffalo Bulls@ Buffalo Bulls
L 72–85
Dec 29
vs Earlham College Quakers
W 93–30
Dec 20
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 77–86
Dec 14
Campbell Fighting Camels@ Campbell Fighting Camels
L 64–69
Dec 9
South Dakota State Jackrabbitsvs South Dakota State Jackrabbits
L 64–68
Dec 3
Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple Aces
L 52–64
Nov 30
Le Moyne Dolphinsvs Le Moyne Dolphins
W 96–85
Nov 29
Lafayette Leopards@ Lafayette Leopards
L 37–55
Nov 28
Monmouth Hawksvs Monmouth Hawks
L 73–80
Nov 22
Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State Sycamores
L 52–70
Nov 15
Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock Trojans
L 62–68
Nov 11
Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin Badgers
L 55–86
Nov 7
vs Mansfield Mountaineers
W 84–54
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 6Central Michigan Chippewasvs Central Michigan ChippewasW 85-690
Mar 3Western Michigan Broncos@ Western Michigan BroncosW 71-74
2
Feb 28Northern Illinois Huskies@ Northern Illinois HuskiesW 43-79
3
Feb 24Massachusetts Minutemenvs Massachusetts MinutemenL 38-53
2
Feb 20Akron Zipsvs Akron ZipsL 65-78
2
Feb 17Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 69-57
3
Feb 14Kent State Golden Flashesvs Kent State Golden FlashesL 68-75
1
Feb 11Buffalo Bullsvs Buffalo BullsL 53-63
3
Feb 7UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe WarhawksW 68-73
2
Feb 3Bowling Green Falcons@ Bowling Green FalconsL 77-52
3
Jan 31Toledo Rockets@ Toledo RocketsL 73-55
2
Jan 24Northern Illinois Huskiesvs Northern Illinois HuskiesW 58-530
Jan 20Central Michigan Chippewas@ Central Michigan ChippewasW 67-68
1
Jan 16Ohio Bobcatsvs Ohio BobcatsW 76-71
1
Jan 13Akron Zips@ Akron ZipsL 87-770
Jan 10Massachusetts Minutemen@ Massachusetts MinutemenL 79-71
1
Jan 6Eastern Michigan Eaglesvs Eastern Michigan EaglesL 52-74
4
Jan 3Buffalo Bulls@ Buffalo BullsL 85-72
3
Dec 29vs Earlham College QuakersW 93-300
Dec 20Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 77-860
Dec 14Campbell Fighting Camels@ Campbell Fighting CamelsL 69-64
1
Dec 9South Dakota State Jackrabbitsvs South Dakota State JackrabbitsL 64-68
2
Dec 3Evansville Purple Aces@ Evansville Purple AcesL 64-52
2
Nov 30Le Moyne Dolphinsvs Le Moyne DolphinsW 96-85
1
Nov 29Lafayette Leopards@ Lafayette LeopardsL 55-37
5
Nov 28Monmouth Hawksvs Monmouth HawksL 73-80
1
Nov 22Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State SycamoresL 70-52
3
Nov 15Little Rock Trojansvs Little Rock TrojansL 62-68
1
Nov 11Wisconsin Badgers@ Wisconsin BadgersL 86-55
2
Nov 7vs Mansfield MountaineersW 84-540

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Buffalo Bulls@ Buffalo BullsL 72-85Jan 3
27 pts allowed during 3 droughts (31.8% of 13-pt margin)
Major Factor
Ohio Bobcats@ Ohio BobcatsL 57-69Feb 17
21 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.4% of 12-pt margin)
Major Factor
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (30.2% of 15-pt margin)
Major Factor
Akron Zipsvs Akron ZipsL 65-78Feb 20
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.5% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Buffalo Bullsvs Buffalo BullsL 53-63Feb 11
14 pts allowed during 3 droughts (22.2% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.1% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (17.2% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.7% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Ball State Cardinals scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
KF
Kayden Fish
44% clutchⓘ
9
2
DH
Davion Hill
25% clutchⓘ
8
3
AZ
Armoni Zeigler
75% clutchⓘ
8
4
DB
Devon Barnes
29% clutchⓘ
7
5
EI
Elmore James IV
43% clutchⓘ
7
6
MJ
Mason Jones
25% clutchⓘ
4
7
CD
Cam Denson
0% clutchⓘ
3
8
PC
Preston Copeland
2
3PT
2PT
FT