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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

UL Monroe Warhawks

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:19

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~11→20

+9

Ball State Cardinals

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→12

+3

UL Monroe Warhawks averages 1 droughts/game  · Ball State Cardinals forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

UL Monroe Warhawks droughts

2

Ball State Cardinals droughts

4:09

Longest drought

Ball State Cardinals

32

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Ball State Cardinals drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UL Monroe Warhawks drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UL Monroe Warhawks

UL Monroe Warhawks

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 3 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Przemek Hartman makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:03

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 7 → 8 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Krystian Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:32

10.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 59 → 60 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Krystian Lewis makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:03

3.0 pts

Ball State Cardinals

Ball State Cardinals

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Kayden Fish makes layup (Elmore James IV assists)

2-Pointer

4:09

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Armoni Zeigler makes layup (Davion Hill assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

6.0 pts