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Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Ball State Cardinals

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~16→39

+23

Eastern Michigan Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~13→9

-4

Ball State Cardinals averages 2 droughts/game  · Eastern Michigan Eagles forces 2 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Ball State Cardinals droughts

1

Eastern Michigan Eagles droughts

4:53

Longest drought

Ball State Cardinals

48

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Ball State Cardinals drought cost

4 droughts • 39 pts drought cost

39

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Eastern Michigan Eagles drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Ball State Cardinals

Ball State Cardinals

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Armoni Zeigler makes layup

2-Pointer

4:53

8.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Mason Jones makes layup (Cam Denson assists)

2-Pointer

4:49

9.0 pts

1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 25 → 28 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Davion Hill makes 26-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:33

11.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 23 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Armoni Zeigler makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:25

11.0 pts

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Eastern Michigan Eagles

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 5 → 7 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Carlos Hart makes layup

2-Pointer

3:03

9.0 pts