Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Cal Poly Mustangs

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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference Game

Cal Poly Mustangs

108

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

Moderate confidence

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ No drought as predicted

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts Ceded

~6→0

-6

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

High confidence

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

Pts Ceded

~10→24

+14

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1droughts/game · Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs Droughts

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Droughts

Longest Drought

3:16

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Drought Point Swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Drought Impact

2 droughts • 24 unanswered points allowed

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline

All Droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Cal Poly Mustangs

No notable droughts

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dailin Smith makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:16

15.2 opp pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Kadar Waller makes layup

2-Pointer

3:07

20.9 opp pts