Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Cal Poly Mustangs

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Saturday, March 7, 2026

Conference game

Cal Poly Mustangs

108

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal Poly Mustangs

Moderate confidence

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 6 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ No drought, as expected

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~6→0

-6

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

High confidence

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

Pts ceded

~10→24

+14

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game · Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners droughts

3:16

Longest drought

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners drought cost

2 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Cal Poly Mustangs

No notable droughts

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Dailin Smith makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:16

9.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Kadar Waller makes layup

2-Pointer

3:07

15.0 pts