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Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Big WestOTHER

2025-26 drought profile · 31 games played · 8-23 (26%)

Compare vs another team

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners ranks 11th of 12 Big West teams in droughts per game (1.52 dpg, above the Big West average of 1.28). Their droughts average 3:50 (near the Big West norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 7.9 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.52

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #11 of 12 in Big West

11th in Big West

+0.24/game vs Big West avg

#11 in Big West (12 teams)

3:50

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:51 · #6 of 12 in Big West

-0:01 vs Big West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

7.9

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.2 · #9 of 12 in Big West

+0.7 pts vs Big West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

9

Influenced losses

3 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

23%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 11 of 47 droughts

2-12

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 6-11 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.5 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 47 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
36
droughts · avg 3:40
2nd half
11
droughts · avg 4:22

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
33
70% of droughts
7.2 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
10
21% of droughts
7.7 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
4
9% of droughts
14.3 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.2 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.7 pts
Critical (5+ min)
14.3 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 99% more points than notable ones (14.3 vs 7.2 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(15%)2-PT(55%)FT(30%)
3-pointer (7, 15%)2-pointer (26, 55%)FT (14, 30%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 7
Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly Mustangs
L 76–108
Mar 5
Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 84–86
Feb 28
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
L 87–88
Feb 26
UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego Tritons
L 49–58
Feb 21
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 80–88
Feb 19
UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside Highlanders
L 65–93
Feb 12
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 74–89
Feb 7
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 66–82
Feb 5
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
L 62–78
Jan 31
UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis Aggies
L 72–80
Jan 29
Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly Mustangs
L 79–104
Jan 22
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 71–98
Jan 17
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
L 62–83
Jan 15
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
L 69–75
Jan 10
Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State Beach
L 75–81
Jan 8
UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside Highlanders
W 67–66
Jan 3
UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis Aggies
W 81–79
Jan 1
UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine Anteaters
L 77–81
Dec 23
Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho Vandals
W 64–63
Dec 18
vs Nobel Knights
W 97–66
Dec 13
Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine Waves
L 62–70
Dec 11
North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State Bison
L 69–80
Dec 6
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
L 84–109
Dec 4
Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 66–87
Nov 30
Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State Bulldogs
W 76–71
Nov 25
Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State Seminoles
L 59–89
Nov 22
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
W 86–70
Nov 17
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State Vikings
L 80–93
Nov 14
Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss Rebels
L 60–82
Nov 11
Western Illinois Leathernecksvs Western Illinois Leathernecks
W 74–58
Nov 6
vs Whittier Poets
W 83–61
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 7Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly MustangsL 108-76
2
Mar 5Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 84-86
1
Feb 28Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachL 87-880
Feb 26UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego TritonsL 58-49
2
Feb 21Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansL 80-88
2
Feb 19UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside HighlandersL 93-65
2
Feb 12Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 74-89
1
Feb 7Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 82-66
3
Feb 5UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 78-62
3
Jan 31UC Davis Aggiesvs UC Davis AggiesL 72-800
Jan 29Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly MustangsL 79-104
1
Jan 22Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 98-710
Jan 17UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsL 62-83
3
Jan 15UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosL 69-750
Jan 10Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachL 81-75
3
Jan 8UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside HighlandersW 67-66
3
Jan 3UC Davis Aggies@ UC Davis AggiesW 79-81
1
Jan 1UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine AnteatersL 77-81
1
Dec 23Idaho Vandalsvs Idaho VandalsW 64-63
2
Dec 18vs Nobel KnightsW 97-660
Dec 13Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine WavesL 62-70
3
Dec 11North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State BisonL 69-80
1
Dec 6UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara GauchosL 109-84
1
Dec 4Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 87-66
1
Nov 30Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State BulldogsW 71-76
1
Nov 25Florida State Seminoles@ Florida State SeminolesL 89-59
3
Nov 22Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsvs Mississippi Valley State Delta DevilsW 86-70
1
Nov 17Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 93-80
2
Nov 14Ole Miss Rebels@ Ole Miss RebelsL 82-60
3
Nov 11Western Illinois Leathernecksvs Western Illinois LeathernecksW 74-58
1
Nov 6vs Whittier PoetsW 83-610

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachL 75-81Jan 10
25 pts allowed during 3 droughts (30.9% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansL 80-88Feb 21
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.7% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Pepperdine Wavesvs Pepperdine WavesL 62-70Dec 13
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (27.1% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego TritonsL 49-58Feb 26
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (31% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 84-86Mar 5
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (15.1% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State BisonL 69-80Dec 11
13 pts allowed during 1 drought (16.3% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Portland State Vikings@ Portland State VikingsL 80-93Nov 17
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (11.8% of 13-pt margin)
Minor Factor
UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine AnteatersL 77-81Jan 1
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.6% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 74-89Feb 12
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 15-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
DS
Dailin Smith
10% clutchⓘ
10
2
CH
CJ Hardy
22% clutchⓘ
9
3
RJ
Ronald Jessamy
13% clutchⓘ
8
4
AG
AJ George
0% clutchⓘ
5
5
TM
Tom Mark
0% clutchⓘ
4
6
BW
Bentley Waller
33% clutchⓘ
3
7
KW
Kadar Waller
0% clutchⓘ
3
8
CM
Caleb McCarty
2
3PT
2PT
FT