OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Zach Kittley
Texas Tech · Big 12
Texas Tech · Big 12
Zach Kittley
3 career stops · 4,684 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
46% run / 54% pass over 4,684 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
82% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (201 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
61% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (312 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
46.5%
Run
53.5%
Pass
46.7%
Success Rate
4,684 plays
2-Min Pass %
53.1%
n=565
46% success
After Big Gain
51.3% run
n=536
52% success
After Sack
54.3% pass
n=138
34% success
Inside Opp 40
47.6% run
n=1575
46% success
Middle 8
56.8% pass
n=763
47% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (39/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Moderate tempo changes
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
25.9s
Avg Pace
26.2s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.215
Non-PA EPA
2,508 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.1%
Rush Explosive
15.7%
Pass Explosive
11.7%
Overall
4,684 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half