OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 10, 2026

Zach Kittley

OC · Texas Tech · Big 12 · 4,669 plays tracked

Run%

46%

Pass%

54%

EPA/Play

+0.21

Texas Tech 2022–2024Houston 2021–2021Western Kentucky 2020–2020

Key Findings

Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 4,669 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Long: throws it82% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (201 plays).

Goal Line: runs it61% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (312 plays).

By Down

1st Down

52% R

+0.03n=2039

2nd Down

57% P

+0.17n=1511

3rd Down

62% P

+0.56n=945

4th Down

54% R

+0.66n=173

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)

71% R

+0.67n=237

Medium (4-6)

68% P

+0.48n=240

Long (7-9)

82% P

+0.53n=201

Very Long (10+)

72% P

+0.54n=267

Field Zone

Own Territory

54% P

+0.23n=3096

Midfield

56% P

+0.00n=920

Red Zone

56% P

+0.32n=341

Goal Line

61% R

+0.44n=312

Game Script

Up Big

53% R

+0.18n=1098

Up Close

51% P

+0.19n=784

Tied

57% P

+0.28n=815

Down Close

55% P

+0.23n=944

Down Big

59% P

+0.17n=1028

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill

55% P

+0.2347%n=550

After Big Gain

51% R

+0.1253%n=535

After Sack

54% P

+0.1834%n=138

Inside Opp 40

52% P

+0.1646%n=1573

Middle 8

57% P

+0.2247%n=763

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)

51% R

+0.12n=535

Big Gain (20+)

54% R

+0.08n=291

Sack

54% P

+0.18n=138

Negative Play

60% P

+0.19n=376

Stuffed Run

61% P

+0.28n=360

1st Down Tendency

52% R

+0.03n=2039

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory

55% R

+0.08n=709

Midfield

57% P

-0.08n=68

Red Zone

80% R

+0.15n=20

Goal Line

58% R

+0.43n=12

Run/Pass Imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 82%

When Trailing Bigpasses 59%

Red Zonepasses 56%

2-Minute Drillpasses 55%

After Sackpasses 54%

Advanced Intel

Tempo25.8s avg / 26.2s median

Explosive7.2% rush / 15.7% pass

1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=453)

2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=369)

Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →