OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Zach Kittley
OC · Texas Tech · Big 12 · 4,669 plays tracked
46%
Run %
54%
Pass %
+0.21
EPA per play
Texas Tech 2022–2024Houston 2021–2021Western Kentucky 2020–2020
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 4,669 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it82% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (201 plays).
Goal Line: runs it61% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (312 plays).
By down
1st down+0.03n=2039
52% R
2nd down+0.17n=1511
57% P
3rd down+0.56n=945
62% P
4th down+0.66n=173
54% R
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.67n=237
71% R
Medium (4-6)+0.48n=240
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.53n=201
82% P
Very Long (10+)+0.54n=267
72% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.23n=3096
54% P
Midfield+0.00n=920
56% P
Red Zone+0.32n=341
56% P
Goal Line+0.44n=312
61% R
Game script
Up Big+0.18n=1098
53% R
Up Close+0.19n=784
51% P
Tied+0.28n=815
57% P
Down Close+0.23n=944
55% P
Down Big+0.17n=1028
59% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2347%n=550
55% P
After Big Gain+0.1253%n=535
51% R
After Sack+0.1834%n=138
54% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1646%n=1573
52% P
Middle 8+0.2247%n=763
57% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.12n=535
51% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.08n=291
54% R
Sack+0.18n=138
54% P
Negative Play+0.19n=376
60% P
Stuffed Run+0.28n=360
61% P
1st Down Tendency+0.03n=2039
52% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.08n=709
55% R
Midfield-0.08n=68
57% P
Red Zone+0.15n=20
80% R
Goal Line+0.43n=12
58% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 82%
When Trailing Bigpasses 59%
Red zone (11–20 yds)passes 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 55%
After Sackpasses 54%
Advanced intel
Tempo25.8s avg / 26.2s median
Explosive7.2% rush / 15.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=453)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=369)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →