OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026
Zach Kittley
OC · Texas Tech · Big 12 · 4,684 plays tracked
Run%
46%
Pass%
54%
EPA/Play
+0.20
Texas Tech 2022–2024Houston 2021–2021Western Kentucky 2020–2020
Key Findings
Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 4,684 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it82% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (201 plays).
Goal Line: runs it61% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (312 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.02n=2046
52% R
2nd Down+0.17n=1516
57% P
3rd Down+0.55n=948
62% P
4th Down+0.66n=173
54% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.67n=238
71% R
Medium (4-6)+0.48n=240
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.53n=201
82% P
Very Long (10+)+0.54n=269
71% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.22n=3109
54% P
Midfield+0.00n=922
56% P
Red Zone+0.32n=341
56% P
Goal Line+0.44n=312
61% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.26n=1145
53% R
Up Close+0.27n=821
50% P
Tied+0.20n=787
58% P
Down Close+0.17n=926
55% P
Down Big+0.11n=1005
59% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2046%n=565
53% P
After Big Gain+0.1252%n=536
51% R
After Sack+0.1834%n=138
54% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1646%n=1575
52% P
Middle 8+0.2247%n=763
57% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.12n=536
51% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.07n=292
54% R
Sack+0.18n=138
54% P
Negative Play+0.18n=380
59% P
Stuffed Run+0.26n=369
59% P
1st Down Tendency+0.02n=2046
52% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.07n=715
56% R
Midfield-0.08n=68
57% P
Red Zone+0.15n=20
80% R
Goal Line+0.43n=12
58% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 82%
Defenses will prepare for this
When Trailing Bigpasses 59%
Red Zonepasses 56%
After Sackpasses 54%
Overall Tendencypasses 54%
Advanced Intel
Tempo25.9s avg / 26.2s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive7.1% rush / 15.7% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=453)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=369)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →