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Iowa State · Big 12

Tyler Roehl

2 career stops · 1,687 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Run-first offense

66% run rate over 1,687 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.

3rd & Very Long: throws it

89% pass — 56pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (75 plays).

After Stuffed Run: throws it

46% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (164 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

78% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 66% career average (150 plays).

Career Timeline

Iowa StateBig 12
2026–present
North Dakota StateMVFCFCS
2019–2023

Overall Split

66.2%

Run

33.8%

Pass

54.4%

Success Rate

1,687 plays

2-Min Pass %

40.0%

n=185

49% success

After Big Gain

78.3% run

n=240

58% success

After Sack

54.8% pass

n=31

52% success

Inside Opp 40

70.1% run

n=669

56% success

Middle 8

38.9% pass

n=257

52% success

Historical Run/Pass Imbalance

How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.

3rd & Longpasses 81%
After Big Gainruns 78%
Red Zoneruns 73%
Overall Tendencyruns 66%
2-Minute Drillruns 60%
When Trailing Bigruns 56%
After Sackpasses 55%

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced Analytics

Tempo — Pace of Play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

31.7s

Avg Pace

34.0s

Median

By Score State

Up Big
35.8sn=70
Up Close
36.2sn=37
Tied
34.0sn=56
Down Big
25.7sn=70
Down Close
28.6sn=56

Explosive Plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

11.6%

Rush Explosive

20.0%

Pass Explosive

14.4%

Overall

1,687 plays

Opening Script — Scripted Drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
60% run+0.532 EPAn=182
2nd Half Opening Drive
62% run+0.347 EPAn=167