OC Tendencies
← Tyler Roehl profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026

Tyler Roehl

OC · Iowa State · Big 12 · 1,687 plays tracked

66%

Run %

34%

Pass %

+0.36

EPA per play

Iowa State 2026–presentNorth Dakota State 2019–2023 (FCS)

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Run-first offense66% run rate over 1,687 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it89% pass — 56pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (75 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it46% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (164 plays).
Goal Line: runs it78% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 66% career average (150 plays).

By down

1st down
77% R
+0.20n=772
2nd down
63% R
+0.33n=555
3rd down
55% P
+0.78n=321
4th down
71% R
+0.41n=38

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
91% R
+0.80n=89
Medium (4-6)
53% P
+0.79n=89
Long (7-9)
81% P
+0.73n=68
Very Long (10+)
89% P
+0.81n=75

Field zone

Own Territory
64% R
+0.39n=1018
Midfield
66% R
+0.15n=377
Red Zone
73% R
+0.28n=142
Goal Line
78% R
+0.73n=150

Game script

Up Big
70% R
+0.37n=703
Up Close
71% R
+0.35n=285
Tied
61% R
+0.51n=254
Down Close
65% R
+0.34n=235
Down Big
56% R
+0.19n=210

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
60% R
+0.3149%n=185
After Big Gain
78% R
+0.2158%n=240
After Sack
55% P
+0.7452%n=31
Inside Opp 40
70% R
+0.3156%n=669
Middle 8
61% R
+0.3252%n=257

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
78% R
+0.21n=240
Big Gain (20+)
75% R
+0.19n=149
Sack
55% P
+0.74n=31
Negative Play
52% P
+0.71n=117
Stuffed Run
54% R
+0.48n=164
1st Down Tendency
77% R
+0.20n=772

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
76% R
+0.26n=247
Midfield
80% R
+0.39n=25
Red Zone
100% R
-0.09n=11
Goal Line
100% R
+1.25n=8

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 81%
After Big Gainruns 78%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 73%
Overall Tendencyruns 66%
2-Minute Drillruns 60%

Advanced intel

Tempo31.7s avg / 34.0s median
Explosive11.6% rush / 20.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=182)
2nd Half Opening Drive62% run (n=167)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →