OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Tyler Roehl
OC · Iowa State · Big 12 · 1,687 plays tracked
Run%
66%
Pass%
34%
EPA/Play
+0.36
Iowa State 2026–presentNorth Dakota State 2019–2023 (FCS)
Key Findings
Run-first offense66% run rate over 1,687 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it89% pass — 56pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (75 plays).
After Stuffed Run: throws it46% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (164 plays).
Goal Line: runs it78% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 66% career average (150 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.20n=772
77% R
2nd Down+0.33n=555
63% R
3rd Down+0.78n=321
55% P
4th Down+0.41n=38
71% R
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.80n=89
91% R
Medium (4-6)+0.79n=89
53% P
Long (7-9)+0.73n=68
81% P
Very Long (10+)+0.81n=75
89% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.39n=1018
64% R
Midfield+0.15n=377
66% R
Red Zone+0.28n=142
73% R
Goal Line+0.73n=150
78% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.37n=703
70% R
Up Close+0.35n=285
71% R
Tied+0.51n=254
61% R
Down Close+0.34n=235
65% R
Down Big+0.19n=210
56% R
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.3149%n=185
60% R
After Big Gain+0.2158%n=240
78% R
After Sack+0.7452%n=31
55% P
Inside Opp 40+0.3156%n=669
70% R
Middle 8+0.3252%n=257
61% R
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.21n=240
78% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.19n=149
75% R
Sack+0.74n=31
55% P
Negative Play+0.71n=117
52% P
Stuffed Run+0.48n=164
54% R
1st Down Tendency+0.20n=772
77% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=247
76% R
Midfield+0.39n=25
80% R
Red Zone-0.09n=11
100% R
Goal Line+1.25n=8
100% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 81%
After Big Gainruns 78%
Red Zoneruns 73%
Overall Tendencyruns 66%
2-Minute Drillruns 60%
Advanced Intel
Tempo31.7s avg / 34.0s median
Explosive11.6% rush / 20.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=182)
2nd Half Opening Drive62% run (n=167)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →