OC Tendencies
← Tyler Roehl Profile

OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026

Tyler Roehl

OC · Iowa State · Big 12 · 1,697 plays tracked

Run%

66%

Pass%

34%

EPA/Play

+0.35

Iowa State 2026–presentNorth Dakota State 2019–2023 (FCS)

Key Findings

Run-first offense66% run rate over 1,697 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Very Long: throws it89% pass — 56pp more pass-oriented than the 34% career average (75 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it79% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 66% career average (241 plays).
Goal Line: runs it78% run — 12pp run-heavier than the 66% career average (150 plays).

By Down

1st Down
78% R
+0.20n=779
2nd Down
63% R
+0.33n=556
3rd Down
55% P
+0.77n=323
4th Down
71% R
+0.41n=38

3rd Down by Distance

Short (1-3)
91% R
+0.80n=89
Medium (4-6)
52% P
+0.77n=90
Long (7-9)
80% P
+0.70n=69
Very Long (10+)
89% P
+0.81n=75

Field Zone

Own Territory
64% R
+0.38n=1026
Midfield
66% R
+0.15n=379
Red Zone
73% R
+0.28n=142
Goal Line
78% R
+0.73n=150

Game Script

Up Big
71% R
+0.44n=731
Up Close
70% R
+0.37n=296
Tied
59% R
+0.40n=240
Down Close
65% R
+0.18n=223
Down Big
57% R
+0.16n=207

Quick Stats

2-Min Drill
62% R
+0.2546%n=195
After Big Gain
79% R
+0.2058%n=241
After Sack
55% P
+0.7452%n=31
Inside Opp 40
70% R
+0.3156%n=671
Middle 8
62% R
+0.3151%n=261

Post-Event Reactions

Big Gain (15+)
79% R
+0.20n=241
Big Gain (20+)
76% R
+0.18n=150
Sack
55% P
+0.74n=31
Negative Play
53% P
+0.66n=118
Stuffed Run
55% R
+0.44n=170
1st Down Tendency
78% R
+0.20n=779

Drive Openers by Zone

Own Territory
77% R
+0.24n=252
Midfield
81% R
+0.34n=26
Red Zone
100% R
-0.09n=11
Goal Line
100% R
+1.25n=8

Predictability Index

3rd & Longpasses 80%

Defenses will prepare for this

After Big Gainruns 79%

Defenses will prepare for this

Red Zoneruns 73%

Notable pattern on film

Overall Tendencyruns 66%
2-Minute Drillruns 62%

Advanced Intel

Tempo31.7s avg / 34.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive11.5% rush / 20.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive60% run (n=182)
2nd Half Opening Drive62% run (n=167)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →