OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Tim Cramsey
Arkansas · SEC
Arkansas · SEC
Tim Cramsey
2 career stops · 3,623 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
47% run / 53% pass over 3,623 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
85% pass — 33pp more pass-oriented than the 53% career average (144 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
75% run — 27pp run-heavier than the 47% career average (149 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
70% run — 23pp run-heavier than the 47% career average (320 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
47.2%
Run
52.8%
Pass
50.6%
Success Rate
3,623 plays
2-Min Pass %
59.8%
n=589
48% success
After Big Gain
53.8% run
n=437
55% success
After Sack
65.6% pass
n=96
36% success
Inside Opp 40
55.5% run
n=1381
51% success
Middle 8
60.2% pass
n=645
50% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (36/100) — biggest tell: pressure response
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Moderate tempo changes
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.8s
Avg Pace
32.0s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.313
Non-PA EPA
1,914 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
6.9%
Rush Explosive
17.0%
Pass Explosive
12.2%
Overall
3,623 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half