OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Slade Nagle
Houston · Big 12
Houston · Big 12
Slade Nagle
2 career stops · 1,815 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
57% run rate over 1,815 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it
77% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 43% career average (105 plays).
After a Sack: throws it
59% pass — 15pp more pass-oriented than the 43% career average (41 plays).
Down Big: throws it
56% pass — 12pp more pass-oriented than the 43% career average (242 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
56.7%
Run
43.3%
Pass
47.9%
Success Rate
1,815 plays
2-Min Pass %
44.4%
n=225
39% success
After Big Gain
61.2% run
n=196
55% success
After Sack
58.5% pass
n=41
20% success
Inside Opp 40
60.4% run
n=699
46% success
Middle 8
51.8% pass
n=311
50% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (42/100) — biggest tell: pressure response
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Moderate tempo changes
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.1s
Avg Pace
30.8s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.336
Non-PA EPA
786 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
5.3%
Rush Explosive
18.4%
Pass Explosive
11.0%
Overall
1,815 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half