OC Tendencies Scouting Report · September 13, 2026
Slade Nagle
OC · Houston · Big 12 · 1,795 plays tracked
Run%
56%
Pass%
44%
EPA/Play
+0.19
Houston 2025–presentTulane 2023–2023
Key Findings
Run-first offense56% run rate over 1,795 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it77% pass — 33pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (105 plays).
After a Sack: throws it59% pass — 15pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (41 plays).
Down Big: throws it57% pass — 13pp more pass-oriented than the 44% career average (251 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.07n=780
61% R
2nd Down+0.14n=571
62% R
3rd Down+0.48n=378
58% P
4th Down+0.32n=66
68% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.62n=114
70% R
Medium (4-6)+0.24n=78
64% P
Long (7-9)+0.44n=105
77% P
Very Long (10+)+0.57n=81
67% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.26n=1106
54% R
Midfield-0.07n=383
57% R
Red Zone+0.10n=150
64% R
Goal Line+0.40n=156
63% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.09n=455
63% R
Up Close+0.26n=422
61% R
Tied+0.18n=370
52% R
Down Close+0.20n=297
56% R
Down Big+0.23n=251
57% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.0542%n=208
52% R
After Big Gain+0.1955%n=194
61% R
After Sack-0.0520%n=41
59% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0746%n=689
60% R
Middle 8+0.2551%n=307
52% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.19n=194
61% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.21n=120
58% R
Sack-0.05n=41
59% P
Negative Play-0.01n=129
52% P
Stuffed Run+0.17n=143
53% P
1st Down Tendency+0.07n=780
61% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.08n=286
64% R
Midfield+0.09n=15
73% R
Red Zone-0.02n=3
100% R
Goal Line+0.31n=3
100% R
Run/Pass Imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 77%
Red Zoneruns 64%
After Big Gainruns 61%
After Sackpasses 59%
When Trailing Bigpasses 57%
Advanced Intel
Tempo28.2s avg / 30.8s median
Explosive5.4% rush / 18.4% pass
1st Half Opening Drive51% run (n=154)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% run (n=179)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →