OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Shawn Bell
North Texas · C-USA
North Texas · C-USA
Shawn Bell
1 career stop · 4,200 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Run-first offense
54% run rate over 4,200 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.
3rd & Long: throws it
80% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (185 plays).
Garbage Time: runs it
70% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (240 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
70% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (317 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
54.3%
Run
45.7%
Pass
49.1%
Success Rate
4,200 plays
2-Min Pass %
53.2%
n=528
43% success
After Big Gain
58.7% run
n=509
After Sack
60.0% pass
n=80
Inside Opp 40
57.5% run
n=1505
50% success
Middle 8
49.3% pass
n=710
44% success
Historical Run/Pass Imbalance
How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
22.8s
Avg Pace
20.5s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
9.7%
Rush Explosive
19.0%
Pass Explosive
14.0%
Overall
774 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half