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North Texas · C-USA

Shawn Bell

1 career stop · 4,200 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Run-first offense

54% run rate over 4,200 plays — establishes the run as the primary play-caller identity.

3rd & Long: throws it

80% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (185 plays).

Garbage Time: runs it

70% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (240 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

70% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (317 plays).

Career Timeline

North TexasC-USA
2020–2020

Overall Split

54.3%

Run

45.7%

Pass

49.1%

Success Rate

4,200 plays

2-Min Pass %

53.2%

n=528

43% success

After Big Gain

58.7% run

n=509

After Sack

60.0% pass

n=80

Inside Opp 40

57.5% run

n=1505

50% success

Middle 8

49.3% pass

n=710

44% success

Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study

How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators

3rd & Longpasses 80%

Defenses will prep for this

After Sackpasses 60%
After Big Gainruns 59%
Red Zoneruns 58%
Overall Tendencyruns 54%
When Trailing Bigpasses 53%
2-Minute Drillpasses 53%

Exploitability Index

C51/100

Grade C (51/100) — biggest tell: pressure response

Predictabilityσ=0.069

Moderate variation

Pressure Response19pp shift

Moderate pressure adjustment

Game Script Rigidity16pp swing

Moderate adaptation

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone