OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Shawn Bell
OC · North Texas · C-USA · 774 plays tracked
54%
Run %
46%
Pass %
+0.29
EPA per play
North Texas 2020–2020
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Run-first offense54% run rate over 774 plays (2020–2025).
Up Big: runs it73% run — 19pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (107 plays).
Goal Line: runs it70% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 54% career average (46 plays).
3rd & Medium: throws it60% pass — 14pp more pass-oriented than the 46% career average (45 plays).
By down
1st down+0.14n=343
58% R
2nd down+0.33n=260
57% R
3rd down+0.64n=147
60% P
4th down-0.02n=24
54% R
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.75n=39
79% R
Medium (4-6)+0.67n=45
60% P
Long (7-9)+0.79n=30
83% P
Very Long (10+)+0.34n=33
85% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.37n=521
53% R
Midfield+0.03n=168
51% R
Red Zone+0.32n=39
69% R
Goal Line+0.39n=46
70% R
Game script
Up Big+0.50n=107
73% R
Up Close+0.34n=65
60% R
Tied+0.11n=95
54% R
Down Close+0.28n=117
56% R
Down Big+0.28n=390
52% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.1745%n=60
53% P
After Big Gain+0.3361%n=107
54% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1449%n=253
57% R
Middle 8+0.2858%n=138
59% R
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.33n=107
54% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.41n=75
56% P
Sack+0.58n=17
59% P
Negative Play+0.18n=42
52% P
Stuffed Run+0.25n=52
52% P
1st Down Tendency+0.14n=343
58% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.04n=120
53% P
Midfield-0.52n=13
54% P
Red Zone-0.02n=4
75% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 83%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 69%
Overall Tendencyruns 54%
After Big Gainpasses 54%
2-Minute Drillpasses 53%
Advanced intel
Tempo22.8s avg / 20.5s median
Explosive9.7% rush / 19.0% pass
1st Half Opening Drive54% run (n=61)
2nd Half Opening Drive66% run (n=61)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →