OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Morgan Scalley
DC · Utah · Big 12 · 4,378 plays tracked
45%
Run %
55%
Pass %
+0.15
EPA per play
Utah 2016–2025
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack45% run / 55% pass over 4,378 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it80% pass — 25pp more pass-oriented than the 55% career average (217 plays).
Goal Line: runs it62% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (242 plays).
By down
1st down+0.00n=1888
52% R
2nd down+0.10n=1395
54% P
3rd down+0.49n=938
68% P
4th down+0.41n=157
61% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.56n=195
66% R
Medium (4-6)+0.55n=223
74% P
Long (7-9)+0.43n=217
80% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=303
76% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.21n=3102
56% P
Midfield-0.16n=796
56% P
Red Zone+0.12n=238
51% P
Goal Line+0.47n=242
62% R
Game script
Up Big+0.12n=366
53% R
Up Close+0.21n=611
50% P
Tied+0.21n=863
54% P
Down Close+0.15n=823
54% P
Down Big+0.11n=1715
58% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.0639%n=633
60% P
After Big Gain-0.0047%n=494
51% P
After Sack+0.1730%n=171
60% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0142%n=1276
52% P
Middle 8+0.1139%n=786
60% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)-0.00n=494
51% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.01n=298
51% P
Sack+0.17n=171
60% P
Negative Play+0.17n=427
58% P
Stuffed Run+0.20n=392
57% P
1st Down Tendency+0.00n=1888
52% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.03n=776
56% R
Midfield-0.07n=40
57% R
Red Zone+0.24n=7
71% P
Goal Line+0.42n=11
64% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 80%
2-Minute Drillpasses 60%
After Sackpasses 60%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
Overall Tendencypasses 55%
Advanced intel
Tempo26.5s avg / 28.0s median
Explosive7.0% rush / 15.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=365)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=358)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →