OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026
Morgan Scalley
DC · Utah · Big 12 · 4,391 plays tracked
Run%
46%
Pass%
54%
EPA/Play
+0.15
Utah 2016–2025
Key Findings
Balanced attack46% run / 54% pass over 4,391 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it80% pass — 25pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (217 plays).
Goal Line: runs it62% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (242 plays).
By Down
1st Down-0.00n=1895
52% R
2nd Down+0.10n=1398
54% P
3rd Down+0.48n=940
67% P
4th Down+0.40n=158
60% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.56n=195
66% R
Medium (4-6)+0.55n=223
74% P
Long (7-9)+0.43n=217
80% P
Very Long (10+)+0.42n=305
75% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.21n=3113
56% P
Midfield-0.17n=798
56% P
Red Zone+0.12n=238
51% P
Goal Line+0.47n=242
62% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.32n=401
52% R
Up Close+0.29n=646
52% R
Tied+0.13n=837
55% P
Down Close+0.11n=815
55% P
Down Big+0.08n=1692
58% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.0439%n=646
59% P
After Big Gain-0.0147%n=495
51% P
After Sack+0.1730%n=171
60% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0142%n=1278
52% P
Middle 8+0.1039%n=789
60% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)-0.01n=495
51% P
Big Gain (20+)+0.01n=299
51% P
Sack+0.17n=171
60% P
Negative Play+0.16n=435
57% P
Stuffed Run+0.18n=401
56% P
1st Down Tendency-0.00n=1895
52% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.03n=781
56% R
Midfield-0.07n=40
57% R
Red Zone+0.24n=7
71% P
Goal Line+0.42n=11
64% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 80%
Defenses will prepare for this
After Sackpasses 60%
2-Minute Drillpasses 59%
When Trailing Bigpasses 58%
Overall Tendencypasses 54%
Advanced Intel
Tempo26.5s avg / 28.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive7.0% rush / 15.1% pass
1st Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=365)
2nd Half Opening Drive56% pass (n=358)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →