OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Morgan Scalley
Utah · Big 12
Utah · Big 12
Morgan Scalley
1 career stop · 4,391 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
46% run / 54% pass over 4,391 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
80% pass — 25pp more pass-oriented than the 54% career average (217 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
62% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 46% career average (242 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
45.6%
Run
54.4%
Pass
42.2%
Success Rate
4,391 plays
2-Min Pass %
59.1%
n=646
39% success
After Big Gain
48.9% run
n=495
47% success
After Sack
60.2% pass
n=171
30% success
Inside Opp 40
48.3% run
n=1278
42% success
Middle 8
60.0% pass
n=789
39% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade D (35/100) — biggest tell: game script rigidity
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Steady tempo — hard to read
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
26.5s
Avg Pace
28.0s
Median
By Score State
Play Action
Play action usage rate and EPA comparison
0%
PA Rate
+0.000
PA EPA
+0.156
Non-PA EPA
2,391 pass plays
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.0%
Rush Explosive
15.1%
Pass Explosive
11.4%
Overall
4,391 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half