OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Mickey Mental
OC · Weber State · Big Sky · 2,759 plays tracked
53%
Run %
47%
Pass %
+0.14
EPA per play
Weber State 2023–2025 (FCS)Weber State 2022–2022 (FCS)
Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack53% run / 47% pass over 2,759 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Short: runs it77% run — 24pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (159 plays).
Goal Line: runs it71% run — 18pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (198 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it63% run — 10pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (279 plays).
By down
1st down+0.01n=1167
61% R
2nd down+0.12n=901
50% P
3rd down+0.50n=601
55% P
4th down-0.34n=89
57% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.59n=159
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.70n=153
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.24n=133
71% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=156
60% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.19n=1751
51% R
Midfield-0.06n=561
53% R
Red Zone+0.09n=249
54% R
Goal Line+0.37n=198
71% R
Game script
Up Big+0.19n=481
58% R
Up Close+0.13n=467
62% R
Tied+0.21n=454
51% P
Down Close+0.12n=578
53% R
Down Big+0.08n=779
53% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.1043%n=452
54% R
After Big Gain+0.0748%n=279
63% R
After Sack+0.0327%n=52
50% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0644%n=1008
57% R
Middle 8+0.1844%n=555
53% R
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.07n=279
63% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.06n=175
68% R
Sack+0.03n=52
50% P
Negative Play+0.29n=201
53% P
Stuffed Run+0.00n=225
50% P
1st Down Tendency+0.01n=1167
61% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.11n=448
59% R
Midfield-0.21n=45
71% R
Red Zone+0.68n=19
53% P
Goal Line+0.68n=22
64% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 71%
After Big Gainruns 63%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 54%
2-Minute Drillruns 54%
Overall Tendencyruns 53%
Advanced intel
Tempo29.2s avg / 32.1s median
Explosive7.0% rush / 13.8% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% pass (n=213)
2nd Half Opening Drive51% run (n=253)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →