OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Mickey Mental
OC · Weber State · Big Sky · 2,767 plays tracked
Run%
53%
Pass%
47%
EPA/Play
+0.14
Weber State 2023–2025 (FCS)Weber State 2022–2022 (FCS)
Key Findings
Balanced attack53% run / 47% pass over 2,767 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it71% pass — 24pp more pass-oriented than the 47% career average (133 plays).
Goal Line: runs it71% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (198 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it63% run — 10pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (279 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.00n=1174
61% R
2nd Down+0.12n=902
50% P
3rd Down+0.50n=601
55% P
4th Down-0.34n=89
57% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.59n=159
77% R
Medium (4-6)+0.70n=153
68% P
Long (7-9)+0.24n=133
71% P
Very Long (10+)+0.43n=156
60% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.18n=1758
51% R
Midfield-0.06n=562
53% R
Red Zone+0.09n=249
54% R
Goal Line+0.37n=198
71% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.28n=504
59% R
Up Close+0.22n=480
62% R
Tied+0.13n=445
52% P
Down Close+0.09n=571
53% R
Down Big+0.03n=767
53% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.0942%n=460
54% R
After Big Gain+0.0748%n=279
63% R
After Sack+0.0327%n=52
50% P
Inside Opp 40+0.0644%n=1009
57% R
Middle 8+0.1844%n=557
53% R
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.07n=279
63% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.06n=175
68% R
Sack+0.03n=52
50% P
Negative Play+0.29n=202
52% P
Stuffed Run-0.00n=229
50% R
1st Down Tendency+0.00n=1174
61% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.10n=454
59% R
Midfield-0.22n=46
72% R
Red Zone+0.68n=19
53% P
Goal Line+0.68n=22
64% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 71%
Notable pattern on film
After Big Gainruns 63%
2-Minute Drillruns 54%
Red Zoneruns 54%
Overall Tendencyruns 53%
Advanced Intel
Tempo29.2s avg / 32.1s median
Explosive7.0% rush / 13.8% pass
1st Half Opening Drive52% pass (n=213)
2nd Half Opening Drive51% run (n=253)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →