OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Mickey Mental
Weber State · Big Sky
Weber State · Big Sky
Mickey Mental
2 career stops · 2,767 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
53% run / 47% pass over 2,767 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
71% pass — 24pp more pass-oriented than the 47% career average (133 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
71% run — 17pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (198 plays).
After Big Gain: runs it
63% run — 10pp run-heavier than the 53% career average (279 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
53.3%
Run
46.7%
Pass
43.9%
Success Rate
2,767 plays
2-Min Pass %
45.7%
n=460
42% success
After Big Gain
63.1% run
n=279
48% success
After Sack
50.0% pass
n=52
27% success
Inside Opp 40
56.9% run
n=1009
44% success
Middle 8
47.2% pass
n=557
44% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Shows on film
Exploitability Index
Grade C (47/100) — biggest tell: predictability
Moderate variation
Composed under pressure
Moderate adaptation
Opener matches overall style
Moderate tempo changes
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
29.2s
Avg Pace
32.1s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
7.0%
Rush Explosive
13.8%
Pass Explosive
10.1%
Overall
2,767 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half