OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026
Kevin McGiven
OC · Utah · Big 12 · 3,633 plays tracked
44%
Run %
56%
Pass %
+0.22
EPA per play
Utah 2026–presentUtah State 2025–2025San José State 2018–2023Oregon State 2017–2017Utah State 2013–2014
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack44% run / 56% pass over 3,633 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it84% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 56% career average (141 plays).
Goal Line: runs it61% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (265 plays).
Up Big: runs it58% run — 13pp run-heavier than the 44% career average (698 plays).
By down
1st down+0.08n=1658
51% R
2nd down+0.25n=1176
55% P
3rd down+0.56n=724
72% P
4th down-0.35n=75
56% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.56n=196
51% R
Medium (4-6)+0.45n=166
80% P
Long (7-9)+0.66n=141
84% P
Very Long (10+)+0.59n=221
77% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.27n=2374
59% P
Midfield+0.03n=678
54% P
Red Zone+0.11n=316
51% R
Goal Line+0.40n=265
61% R
Game script
Up Big+0.33n=698
58% R
Up Close+0.30n=640
54% P
Tied+0.21n=723
55% P
Down Close+0.19n=780
59% P
Down Big+0.12n=792
66% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2345%n=418
57% P
After Big Gain+0.1852%n=491
52% R
After Sack+0.1329%n=125
69% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1347%n=1259
50% R
Middle 8+0.2849%n=568
58% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.18n=491
52% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.19n=307
52% R
Sack+0.13n=125
69% P
Negative Play+0.28n=314
64% P
Stuffed Run+0.34n=318
60% P
1st Down Tendency+0.08n=1658
51% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.14n=587
50% P
Midfield-0.14n=70
54% R
Red Zone+0.17n=20
55% P
Goal Line-0.22n=7
71% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 84%
After Sackpasses 69%
When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
2-Minute Drillpasses 57%
Overall Tendencypasses 56%
Advanced intel
Tempo28.5s avg / 31.1s median
Explosive9.3% rush / 17.5% pass
1st Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=342)
2nd Half Opening Drive55% pass (n=356)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →