OC Tendencies Scouting Report · April 30, 2026
Kevin McGiven
OC · Utah · Big 12 · 3,658 plays tracked
Run%
45%
Pass%
55%
EPA/Play
+0.22
Utah 2026–presentUtah State 2025–2025San José State 2018–2023Oregon State 2017–2017Utah State 2013–2014
Key Findings
Balanced attack45% run / 55% pass over 3,658 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it84% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 55% career average (141 plays).
Goal Line: runs it61% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (268 plays).
Up Big: runs it58% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (762 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.08n=1674
51% R
2nd Down+0.24n=1183
54% P
3rd Down+0.56n=725
71% P
4th Down-0.40n=76
55% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.56n=196
51% R
Medium (4-6)+0.44n=167
80% P
Long (7-9)+0.66n=141
84% P
Very Long (10+)+0.59n=221
77% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.27n=2392
58% P
Midfield+0.03n=680
54% P
Red Zone+0.11n=318
51% R
Goal Line+0.38n=268
61% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.45n=762
58% R
Up Close+0.33n=651
54% P
Tied+0.11n=702
55% P
Down Close+0.10n=758
59% P
Down Big+0.11n=785
66% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.1843%n=442
54% P
After Big Gain+0.1652%n=491
52% R
After Sack+0.1329%n=125
68% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1247%n=1266
50% R
Middle 8+0.2748%n=575
58% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.16n=491
52% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.18n=307
52% R
Sack+0.13n=125
68% P
Negative Play+0.27n=318
64% P
Stuffed Run+0.31n=333
59% P
1st Down Tendency+0.08n=1674
51% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.13n=597
51% R
Midfield-0.15n=71
55% R
Red Zone+0.17n=20
55% P
Goal Line-0.22n=7
71% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 84%
Defenses will prepare for this
After Sackpasses 68%
Notable pattern on film
When Trailing Bigpasses 66%
Overall Tendencypasses 55%
2-Minute Drillpasses 54%
Advanced Intel
Tempo28.5s avg / 31.1s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive9.2% rush / 17.5% pass
1st Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=342)
2nd Half Opening Drive55% pass (n=356)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →