OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Kevin McGiven
Utah · Big 12
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
45% run / 55% pass over 3,658 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
84% pass — 28pp more pass-oriented than the 55% career average (141 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
61% run — 16pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (268 plays).
Up Big: runs it
58% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 45% career average (762 plays).
Self-Scout — How Defenses Will Gameplan For You
Top 3 most readable tendencies — what opposing coordinators will find on film
3rd & Long
passes 84%Film rooms see: DCs will line up in nickel/dime expecting pass
After Sack
passes 68%Film rooms see: Film study will reveal this pattern early
When Trailing Big
passes 66%Film rooms see: Two-minute D ready from opening snap when down
Career Timeline
Overall Split
44.8%
Run
55.2%
Pass
47.3%
Success Rate
3,658 plays
2-Min Pass %
54.3%
n=442
43% success
After Big Gain
52.1% run
n=491
After Sack
68.0% pass
n=125
Inside Opp 40
50.3% run
n=1266
47% success
Middle 8
57.6% pass
n=575
48% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Shows on film
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone