OC Tendencies
← Justin Walterscheid profile

OC Tendencies scouting report · October 28, 2026

Justin Walterscheid

OC · Northern Colorado · Big Sky · 1,548 plays tracked

52%

Run %

48%

Pass %

+0.06

EPA per play

Northern Colorado 2024–present (FCS)Southern Utah 2020–2020 (FCS)

Every play in this profile comes from FCS games, so it does not compare cleanly with FBS offenses.

Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)

Balanced attack52% run / 48% pass over 1,548 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Long: throws it80% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (100 plays).
Up Big: runs it66% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (88 plays).
Goal Line: runs it63% run — 11pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (93 plays).

By down

1st down
60% R
-0.10n=636
2nd down
53% R
+0.14n=516
3rd down
61% P
+0.33n=344
4th down
65% P
-0.48n=51

3rd down by distance

Short (1-3)
69% R
+0.46n=90
Medium (4-6)
65% P
+0.39n=89
Long (7-9)
80% P
+0.20n=100
Very Long (10+)
69% P
+0.27n=65

Field zone

Own Territory
51% R
+0.13n=1143
Midfield
51% R
-0.23n=225
Red Zone
61% R
-0.02n=87
Goal Line
63% R
+0.05n=93

Game script

Up Big
66% R
+0.07n=88
Up Close
62% R
+0.11n=133
Tied
52% R
+0.00n=205
Down Close
52% R
+0.05n=362
Down Big
52% P
+0.08n=760

Quick stats

2-Min Drill
58% P
+0.1946%n=240
After Big Gain
58% R
-0.1743%n=141
After Sack
57% P
+0.0835%n=23
Inside Opp 40
56% R
-0.1241%n=405
Middle 8
56% P
+0.2047%n=298

Post-event reactions

Big Gain (15+)
58% R
-0.17n=141
Big Gain (20+)
59% R
-0.10n=85
Sack
57% P
+0.08n=23
Negative Play
59% P
+0.28n=143
Stuffed Run
51% R
+0.25n=150
1st Down Tendency
60% R
-0.10n=636

Drive openers by zone

Own Territory
61% R
+0.05n=264
Midfield
60% R
-0.31n=10
Red Zone
60% R
-0.17n=5
Goal Line
100% R
+0.07n=3

Run/pass imbalance

3rd & Longpasses 80%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 61%
After Big Gainruns 58%
2-Minute Drillpasses 58%
Overall Tendencyruns 52%

Advanced intel

Tempo28.0s avg / 32.0s median
Explosive4.6% rush / 14.6% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% run (n=137)
2nd Half Opening Drive53% pass (n=155)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →