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Northern Colorado · Big Sky

Justin Walterscheid

2 career stops · 1,548 offensive plays tracked

Scouting Report

Balanced attack

52% run / 48% pass over 1,548 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.

3rd & Long: throws it

80% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (100 plays).

Up Big: runs it

66% run — 14pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (88 plays).

Goal Line: runs it

63% run — 11pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (93 plays).

Career Timeline

Northern ColoradoBig SkyFCS
2024–present
Southern UtahBig SkyFCS
2020–2020

Overall Split

52.1%

Run

47.9%

Pass

42.5%

Success Rate

1,548 plays

2-Min Pass %

57.9%

n=240

46% success

After Big Gain

58.2% run

n=141

43% success

After Sack

56.5% pass

n=23

35% success

Inside Opp 40

56.0% run

n=405

41% success

Middle 8

55.7% pass

n=298

47% success

Historical Run/Pass Imbalance

How far each split sits from 50/50 across this coach's career. Descriptive only — not evaluated as a prediction.

3rd & Longpasses 80%
Red Zoneruns 61%
After Big Gainruns 58%
2-Minute Drillpasses 58%
Overall Tendencyruns 52%
When Trailing Bigpasses 52%

Run / Pass by Down

3rd Down by Distance

Run / Pass by Field Zone

EPA by Down

Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score

Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big

Year-over-Year Evolution

EPA / play

Situational Context

Post-Event Tendencies

Drive Opener by Zone

Advanced Analytics

Tempo — Pace of Play

Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)

28.0s

Avg Pace

32.0s

Median

By Score State

Up Big
10.7sn=7
Up Close
30.6sn=34
Tied
32.6sn=23
Down Big
29.1sn=112
Down Close
25.4sn=74

Explosive Plays

Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays

4.6%

Rush Explosive

14.6%

Pass Explosive

9.4%

Overall

1,548 plays

Opening Script — Scripted Drives

Run/pass split on opening drives by half

1st Half Opening Drive
57% run+0.011 EPAn=137
2nd Half Opening Drive
53% pass+0.127 EPAn=155