OC Tendencies · nektarinsights.com/octendencies · CFBD API 2020–2025
Justin Walterscheid
Northern Colorado · Big Sky
Northern Colorado · Big Sky
Justin Walterscheid
2 career stops · 1,551 offensive plays tracked
Scouting Report
Balanced attack
52% run / 48% pass over 1,551 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Long: throws it
80% pass — 32pp more pass-oriented than the 48% career average (100 plays).
Up Big: runs it
67% run — 15pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (98 plays).
Goal Line: runs it
63% run — 11pp run-heavier than the 52% career average (93 plays).
Career Timeline
Overall Split
52.2%
Run
47.8%
Pass
42.4%
Success Rate
1,551 plays
2-Min Pass %
57.2%
n=243
46% success
After Big Gain
58.2% run
n=141
43% success
After Sack
56.5% pass
n=23
35% success
Inside Opp 40
56.0% run
n=405
41% success
Middle 8
55.7% pass
n=298
47% success
Tendency Strength — What Defenses Study
How readable is each pattern? Higher = more predictable to opposing coordinators
Defenses will prep for this
Exploitability Index
Grade C (50/100) — biggest tell: tempo tell
Moderate variation
Moderate pressure adjustment
Highly adaptive to game flow
Opener matches overall style
Tempo shift telegraphs intent
Run / Pass by Down
3rd Down by Distance
Run / Pass by Field Zone
EPA by Down
Game Script — How Play-Calling Shifts by Score
Run% and Pass% as the score differential changes — left = winning big, right = losing big
Year-over-Year Evolution
EPA / play
Situational Context
Post-Event Tendencies
Drive Opener by Zone
Advanced Analytics
Tempo — Pace of Play
Average seconds between plays (lower = faster tempo)
28.0s
Avg Pace
32.0s
Median
By Score State
Explosive Plays
Rushes 15+ yards and passes 15+ yards as a percentage of total plays
4.6%
Rush Explosive
14.6%
Pass Explosive
9.3%
Overall
1,551 plays
Opening Script — Scripted Drives
Run/pass split on opening drives by half