OC Tendencies Scouting Report · May 12, 2026
Joel Gordon
OC · Auburn · SEC · 1,815 plays tracked
Run%
51%
Pass%
49%
EPA/Play
+0.26
Auburn 2026–presentUSF 2024–2025Iowa State 2023–2024
Key Findings
Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 1,815 plays — keeps defenses honest with a near-even split.
3rd & Very Long: throws it83% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (92 plays).
Goal Line: runs it76% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (124 plays).
Down Big: throws it65% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (407 plays).
By Down
1st Down+0.13n=797
53% R
2nd Down+0.17n=592
59% R
3rd Down+0.66n=377
63% P
4th Down+0.47n=49
55% P
3rd Down by Distance
Short (1-3)+0.83n=120
64% R
Medium (4-6)+0.70n=84
70% P
Long (7-9)+0.46n=81
75% P
Very Long (10+)+0.56n=92
83% P
Field Zone
Own Territory+0.29n=1233
53% P
Midfield-0.01n=325
52% R
Red Zone+0.32n=133
59% R
Goal Line+0.55n=124
76% R
Game Script
Up Big+0.49n=575
65% R
Up Close+0.34n=239
53% R
Tied+0.23n=197
52% R
Down Close+0.15n=397
54% P
Down Big+0.01n=407
65% P
Quick Stats
2-Min Drill+0.2150%n=261
55% P
After Big Gain+0.0449%n=232
56% R
After Sack+0.4445%n=53
55% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1951%n=582
59% R
Middle 8+0.2550%n=301
59% P
Post-Event Reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.04n=232
56% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=150
58% R
Sack+0.44n=53
55% P
Negative Play+0.45n=123
59% P
Stuffed Run+0.50n=134
57% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=797
53% R
Drive Openers by Zone
Own Territory+0.20n=315
52% R
Midfield+0.08n=21
62% R
Red Zone+0.60n=7
57% R
Predictability Index
3rd & Longpasses 75%
Defenses will prepare for this
When Trailing Bigpasses 65%
Red Zoneruns 59%
After Big Gainruns 56%
2-Minute Drillpasses 55%
Advanced Intel
Tempo22.3s avg / 20.0s median
Play Action0% rate · +0.00 EPA
Explosive9.5% rush / 16.4% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% run (n=147)
2nd Half Opening Drive50% run (n=142)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull Profile →