OC Tendencies scouting report · November 9, 2026
Joel Gordon
OC · Auburn · SEC · 1,805 plays tracked
51%
Run %
49%
Pass %
+0.27
EPA per play
Auburn 2026–presentUSF 2024–2025
Biggest splits vs his own average (descriptive, not a prediction)
Balanced attack51% run / 49% pass over 1,805 plays (2020–2025).
3rd & Very Long: throws it84% pass — 34pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (91 plays).
Goal Line: runs it76% run — 25pp run-heavier than the 51% career average (124 plays).
Down Big: throws it65% pass — 16pp more pass-oriented than the 49% career average (414 plays).
By down
1st down+0.13n=791
52% R
2nd down+0.18n=589
58% R
3rd down+0.66n=376
64% P
4th down+0.47n=49
55% P
3rd down by distance
Short (1-3)+0.83n=120
64% R
Medium (4-6)+0.70n=84
70% P
Long (7-9)+0.46n=81
75% P
Very Long (10+)+0.57n=91
84% P
Field zone
Own Territory+0.30n=1226
53% P
Midfield-0.00n=323
52% R
Red Zone+0.33n=132
58% R
Goal Line+0.55n=124
76% R
Game script
Up Big+0.44n=550
64% R
Up Close+0.30n=235
53% R
Tied+0.23n=198
52% R
Down Close+0.24n=408
53% P
Down Big+0.06n=414
65% P
Quick stats
2-Min Drill+0.2652%n=251
57% P
After Big Gain+0.0449%n=232
56% R
After Sack+0.4445%n=53
55% P
Inside Opp 40+0.1951%n=579
59% R
Middle 8+0.2550%n=300
60% P
Post-event reactions
Big Gain (15+)+0.04n=232
56% R
Big Gain (20+)+0.11n=150
58% R
Sack+0.44n=53
55% P
Negative Play+0.48n=121
60% P
Stuffed Run+0.54n=130
59% P
1st Down Tendency+0.13n=791
52% R
Drive openers by zone
Own Territory+0.21n=314
52% R
Midfield+0.08n=21
62% R
Red Zone+0.60n=7
57% R
Run/pass imbalance
3rd & Longpasses 75%
When Trailing Bigpasses 65%
Red zone (11–20 yds)runs 58%
2-Minute Drillpasses 57%
After Big Gainruns 56%
Advanced intel
Tempo22.2s avg / 20.0s median
Explosive9.6% rush / 16.4% pass
1st Half Opening Drive57% run (n=147)
2nd Half Opening Drive50% run (n=142)
Data via CFBD API · 2020–2025 seasons · nektarinsights.com/octendenciesFull profile →